inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 91 Excitement9.3 [121] MVPJerome James (SEA): +15.0%
Seattle SuperSonics 92 Comeback3.6 [551] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -38.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasho Nesterovic0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.000.01387%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Robert Horry-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,-0.010.06-0.07-0.00869%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Glenn Robinson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.050,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01625%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Beno Udrih-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.040.0030%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Brent Barry-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15-0.00-0.150.00564%-0.042-0.111100%0.01
Tony Parker-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.09-0.120.001843%-0.152-0.06633%-0.13
Manu Ginobili-0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.22-0.05-0.19-0.021156%-0.173-0.051060%-0.20
Tim Duncan-0.380,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.23,-0.38-0.07-0.300.011649%-0.351-0.031560%-0.15

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerome James0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.110.050.01794%0.191-0.04250%-0.03
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.050.00662%0.0800.00450%-0.02
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.070.070.020.050.00960%0.0700.0012100%0.17
Reggie Evans0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.02-0.01333%0.0200.0000%0.00
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.01-0.002100%0.062-0.0600%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.090.011045%-0.091-0.0300%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.06-0.09-0.001046%-0.072-0.086100%0.03
Ray Allen0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.32-0.32-0.21-0.22-0.112336%-0.154-0.17978%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.42.734.116.830.12.745.0160.7
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +18.4%
SEA +54.2%
SAS -3.1%
SAS -6.9%
SAS -12.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASSEANBASASSEANBA
this game16.615.215.5101.1101.1104.0
season16.316.5105.8109.5
opponent15.615.6107.998.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.217.417.314.716.6
SEA16.313.316.215.315.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Beno Udrih18170.16-0.660.810.044-5918.816.12.7616.315.01.33
Rasho Nesterovic890.11-0.610.73-0.097-81514.116.9-2.7418.214.93.34
Glenn Robinson78-0.04-0.460.42-0.01-10-121.016.34.7513.215.4-2.15
Nazr Mohammed3029-0.20-0.300.100.15-1211-2318.615.62.9714.915.4-0.51
Manu Ginobili5756-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.548-91715.917.9-2.0815.814.31.50
Brent Barry5959-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.23-32-516.816.40.4114.317.0-2.71
Robert Horry5050-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.556-71317.016.10.9415.415.00.38
Tim Duncan7476-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.481-2316.517.2-0.7615.115.5-0.39
Bruce Bowen7475-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.08-1413-2716.119.1-3.0415.414.21.24
Tony Parker7376-0.590.09-0.68-0.56-10-116.019.3-3.2915.016.3-1.27

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio Daniels64630.60-0.100.710.552-1315.015.7-0.7616.417.1-0.75
Ray Allen83820.57-0.070.630.454-3715.215.2-0.0516.122.2-6.18
Nick Collison34310.55-0.050.590.75-78-1515.415.10.2816.616.60.03
Luke Ridnour80790.51-0.010.530.346-51115.016.5-1.4216.418.2-1.78
Vitaly Potapenko21200.310.190.120.175-4913.615.7-2.1315.217.0-1.83
Jerome James43450.290.210.080.145-4915.515.00.5316.316.9-0.58
Reggie Evans29290.070.43-0.36-0.023-2515.515.10.4017.516.21.32
Rashard Lewis66670.010.49-0.49-0.238-71515.514.31.2317.214.92.35
Damien Wilkins2523-0.200.70-0.900.15-1213-2514.815.4-0.5618.116.11.97
Danny Fortson1011-0.210.71-0.910.06-910-1917.714.92.8018.216.41.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.67,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 95, BKN 980.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.41,0.73,192.0%
LAC 88, GSW 890.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.4,0.61,0.36,0.68,0.86,191.8%
CLE 99, BOS 1030.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.38,0.32,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.29,0.55,0.73,191.4%