NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	95		Excitement	10.5 [48]		MVP	Elfrid Payton (ORL): +30.4%
Brooklyn Nets	98		Comeback	6.3 [233]		LVP	Jonathon Simmons (ORL): -24.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elfrid Payton	0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.3	-0.01	0.30	-0.01	15	52%	0.37	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.10
Marreese Speights	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Wes Iwundu	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	0.00	6	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	9	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Aaron Gordon	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.03	20	47%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.03
Arron Afflalo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Evan Fournier	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.21	-0.05	-0.16	-0.01	15	37%	-0.17	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.05
Jonathon Simmons	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.24,-0.24	-0.06	-0.22	-0.03	12	36%	-0.11	1	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	-0.00	8	80%	0.19	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.01	8	68%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.09
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	8	56%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.09	-0.00	6	50%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.02,0.08	0.08	-0.08	0.15	-0.00	15	45%	0.26	5	-0.19	3	67%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	12	54%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.10
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	13	41%	-0.04	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.07
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	25.4	14.7	29.2	2.4	36.4	132.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +63.7%

BKN +2.2%

ORL -14.5%

ORL -2.3%

BKN +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BKN	NBA	ORL	BKN	NBA
this game	16.0	14.0	14.7	100.0	101.0	107.5
season	14.6	14.7		104.2	105.8
opponent	14.1	14.5		109.4	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.1	16.3	17.3	18.0	16.0
BKN	14.6	12.5	14.8	14.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	19	18	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.01	5	-8	13	14.3	16.5	-2.21	13.6	14.1	-0.53
Wes Iwundu	33	35	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.11	-1	-2	1	19.2	14.3	4.92	14.8	13.5	1.31
Marreese Speights	33	33	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.21	8	-11	19	15.7	16.2	-0.47	13.1	14.5	-1.36
D.J. Augustin	29	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-2	1	17.3	15.5	1.79	14.0	14.0	0.06
Mario Hezonja	32	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	1	-5	18.3	14.9	3.49	14.0	14.0	0.02
Evan Fournier	68	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-4	5	14.6	19.6	-4.97	13.7	14.6	-0.89
Bismack Biyombo	54	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	3	-9	15.8	16.3	-0.55	14.9	12.7	2.19
Elfrid Payton	67	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.43	-2	-1	-1	15.6	17.1	-1.53	13.8	14.3	-0.51
Aaron Gordon	81	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	2	-7	16.0	16.5	-0.55	13.8	15.2	-1.43
Jonathon Simmons	60	60	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.47	-10	7	-17	15.7	16.6	-0.95	13.8	14.2	-0.41

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	60	59	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.46	10	-7	17	13.8	14.3	-0.54	16.0	16.1	-0.17
DeMarre Carroll	58	57	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.47	7	-4	11	14.3	13.5	0.80	16.2	15.7	0.49
Caris LeVert	56	55	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.51	2	1	1	12.7	15.7	-3.02	16.3	15.7	0.57
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	79	77	0.48	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	-2	7	14.0	13.9	0.06	16.0	16.3	-0.30
Allen Crabbe	57	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	-2	7	14.4	13.4	1.00	16.1	15.9	0.14
Tyler Zeller	26	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	3	-3	15.8	13.3	2.54	14.2	16.7	-2.53
Jarrett Allen	40	39	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	8	-13	13.6	14.3	-0.66	15.6	16.3	-0.75
Nik Stauskas	24	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	6	-9	13.5	14.2	-0.65	16.2	16.0	0.25
Joe Harris	52	49	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	6	-9	13.8	14.2	-0.48	16.1	15.9	0.19
Quincy Acy	33	32	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.09	-3	6	-9	14.9	13.5	1.44	17.2	15.4	1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.41,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.55,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.43,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.58,1	92.5%
SAS 91, SEA 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.67,0.85,1	92.0%
CLE 99, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.38,0.32,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.29,0.55,0.73,1	91.9%