inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 99 Excitement10.1 [64] MVPIsaiah Thomas (BOS): +41.5%
Boston Celtics 103 Comeback3.0 [433] LVPDerrick Williams (CLE): -17.1%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyrie Irving0.340,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.340.140.20-0.001964%0.402-0.066100%0.11
LeBron James0.150,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.020.11-0.022156%0.254-0.09862%-0.04
Kyle Korver0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,0.11-0.050.160.00727%0.1100.001100%0.00
Richard Jefferson0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.020.09-0.00753%0.121-0.021100%0.01
Channing Frye-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.01437%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tristan Thompson-0.030,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.021135%-0.0300.00425%-0.04
Iman Shumpert-0.080,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.020.01425%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Deron Williams-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14-0.05-0.09-0.00825%-0.1400.0000%0.00
Derrick Williams-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.17,-0.17,-0.170.02-0.190.001059%0.002-0.17250%-0.02

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.01,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.410.410.060.35-0.002060%0.584-0.161267%0.00
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.32,0.32,0.330.330.120.220.011071%0.3300.004100%0.03
Avery Bradley0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,0.19,0.190.190.010.190.001146%0.1900.00250%-0.01
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.040.070.001150%0.1100.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.02-0.02583%0.112-0.032100%0.01
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.07-0.00664%0.142-0.062100%0.03
Jaylen Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.05-0.02753%0.123-0.081100%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.000.02383%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tyler Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Marcus Smart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.03-0.00950%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Terry Rozier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.0050%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.33.429.516.628.33.439.3145.8
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +90.3%
CLE -3.8%
CLE -40.8%
BOS +4.5%
CLE -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEBOSNBACLEBOSNBA
this game16.214.914.8106.5112.0107.7
season14.914.7113.5110.1
opponent14.914.7108.3109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE15.015.217.018.016.2
BOS14.414.215.016.214.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Richard Jefferson35350.28-0.781.050.077-111816.316.20.1014.715.0-0.26
Channing Frye2424-0.03-0.470.44-0.00-1-3215.416.5-1.1515.914.61.32
Deron Williams4545-0.08-0.420.34-0.204-81216.615.80.8114.615.1-0.50
Kyle Korver5050-0.23-0.270.03-0.20-1-3216.316.10.1614.415.5-1.10
Derrick Williams6059-0.24-0.260.03-0.18-2-2016.415.90.4915.214.30.89
Iman Shumpert4341-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.20-73-1015.716.7-0.9414.914.9-0.04
LeBron James7676-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.39-3-1-216.415.41.0715.511.93.59
Tristan Thompson7068-0.580.08-0.66-0.40-62-816.116.7-0.5713.917.6-3.68
Kyrie Irving6262-0.720.22-0.94-0.40-117-1816.316.20.1015.214.30.94

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaiah Thomas66670.95-0.451.400.5713-92215.014.70.2916.216.20.05
Jae Crowder64650.81-0.311.120.4612-82014.715.3-0.6015.916.9-1.01
Al Horford61620.63-0.130.770.3111-71815.314.21.0716.316.20.10
Avery Bradley40420.61-0.110.720.446-2815.314.60.7915.716.6-0.89
Marcus Smart64630.60-0.100.710.4940414.615.6-0.9616.615.51.02
Kelly Olynyk36370.140.36-0.23-0.015-1614.615.1-0.5216.616.00.57
Tyler Zeller1010-0.100.60-0.690.02-48-1210.115.5-5.3915.516.3-0.81
Amir Johnson2122-0.120.62-0.730.03-59-1416.514.42.1015.516.4-0.89
Terry Rozier1919-0.140.64-0.780.04-610-1614.315.1-0.8116.816.10.77
Jonas Jerebko3534-0.220.72-0.94-0.01-711-1815.914.31.5416.516.10.43
Jaylen Brown4444-0.681.18-1.85-0.41-913-2214.715.1-0.4716.316.10.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.38,0.32,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.29,0.55,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 77, DET 780.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.46,0.47,0.29,0.55,0.74,192.3%
POR 97, ATL 990.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.85,192.0%
ORL 95, BKN 980.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.41,0.73,191.9%