NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Excitement	10.1 [64]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): +41.5%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	3.0 [433]		LVP	Derrick Williams (CLE): -17.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.34	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.34	0.14	0.20	-0.00	19	64%	0.40	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.11
LeBron James	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.02	0.11	-0.02	21	56%	0.25	4	-0.09	8	62%	-0.04
Kyle Korver	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,0.11	-0.05	0.16	0.00	7	27%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.09	-0.00	7	53%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	11	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Iman Shumpert	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	8	25%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	0.02	-0.19	0.00	10	59%	0.00	2	-0.17	2	50%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.01,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.41	0.41	0.06	0.35	-0.00	20	60%	0.58	4	-0.16	12	67%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.32,0.32,0.33	0.33	0.12	0.22	0.01	10	71%	0.33	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Avery Bradley	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.01	0.19	0.00	11	46%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	1	150%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	5	83%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	6	64%	0.14	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	7	53%	0.12	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.4	29.5	16.6	28.3	3.4	39.3	145.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +90.3%

CLE -3.8%

CLE -40.8%

BOS +4.5%

CLE -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	16.2	14.9	14.8	106.5	112.0	107.7
season	14.9	14.7		113.5	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.7		108.3	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	15.2	17.0	18.0	16.2
BOS	14.4	14.2	15.0	16.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	35	35	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.07	7	-11	18	16.3	16.2	0.10	14.7	15.0	-0.26
Channing Frye	24	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-3	2	15.4	16.5	-1.15	15.9	14.6	1.32
Deron Williams	45	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-8	12	16.6	15.8	0.81	14.6	15.1	-0.50
Kyle Korver	50	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.20	-1	-3	2	16.3	16.1	0.16	14.4	15.5	-1.10
Derrick Williams	60	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-2	0	16.4	15.9	0.49	15.2	14.3	0.89
Iman Shumpert	43	41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	3	-10	15.7	16.7	-0.94	14.9	14.9	-0.04
LeBron James	76	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	16.4	15.4	1.07	15.5	11.9	3.59
Tristan Thompson	70	68	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.40	-6	2	-8	16.1	16.7	-0.57	13.9	17.6	-3.68
Kyrie Irving	62	62	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.40	-11	7	-18	16.3	16.2	0.10	15.2	14.3	0.94

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	66	67	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.57	13	-9	22	15.0	14.7	0.29	16.2	16.2	0.05
Jae Crowder	64	65	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.46	12	-8	20	14.7	15.3	-0.60	15.9	16.9	-1.01
Al Horford	61	62	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.31	11	-7	18	15.3	14.2	1.07	16.3	16.2	0.10
Avery Bradley	40	42	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.44	6	-2	8	15.3	14.6	0.79	15.7	16.6	-0.89
Marcus Smart	64	63	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.49	4	0	4	14.6	15.6	-0.96	16.6	15.5	1.02
Kelly Olynyk	36	37	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	-1	6	14.6	15.1	-0.52	16.6	16.0	0.57
Tyler Zeller	10	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	8	-12	10.1	15.5	-5.39	15.5	16.3	-0.81
Amir Johnson	21	22	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	9	-14	16.5	14.4	2.10	15.5	16.4	-0.89
Terry Rozier	19	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	10	-16	14.3	15.1	-0.81	16.8	16.1	0.77
Jonas Jerebko	35	34	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.01	-7	11	-18	15.9	14.3	1.54	16.5	16.1	0.43
Jaylen Brown	44	44	-0.68	1.18	-1.85	-0.41	-9	13	-22	14.7	15.1	-0.47	16.3	16.1	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.38,0.32,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.29,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 77, DET 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.46,0.47,0.29,0.55,0.74,1	92.3%
POR 97, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.85,1	92.0%
ORL 95, BKN 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.41,0.73,1	91.9%