NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	97		Excitement	9.8 [59]		MVP	Jason Terry (ATL): +27.6%
Atlanta Hawks	99		Comeback	3.2 [101]		LVP	Jim Jackson (ATL): -32.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.1,0.2	-0.03	0.21	-0.02	13	58%	0.22	2	-0.03	17	71%	-0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	8	75%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	82%	0.06	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	54%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Kemp	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	9	57%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Steven Smith	-0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25	-0.13	-0.11	0.01	6	21%	-0.16	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.09,-0.16,-0.22,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.32	-0.11	-0.21	-0.00	10	50%	-0.05	5	-0.26	4	50%	-0.12

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,0.01,0.28	0.28	-0.01	0.29	0.00	9	55%	0.36	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	0.00	6	58%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	-0.00	13	59%	0.17	1	-0.09	8	50%	-0.06
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	69%	0.10	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	6	37%	-0.08	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.04,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.33	-0.33	-0.11	-0.22	-0.00	13	42%	-0.09	3	-0.23	7	71%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	0.8	31.8	16.6	29.4	2.0	40.0	146.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +45.9%

POR -4.5%

ATL +28.9%

POR -13.2%

POR -7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ATL	NBA	POR	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.3	15.5	106.6	107.6	100.9
season	15.8	15.4		103.9	96.0
opponent	15.1	15.8		101.6	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.8	14.5	18.2	16.5	16.1
ATL	17.8	12.7	15.4	16.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	26	25	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.02	4	-6	10	15.0	16.6	-1.64	16.6	14.9	1.77
Scottie Pippen	56	56	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.05	2	-4	6	16.7	15.3	1.38	16.5	13.6	2.85
Stacey Augmon	19	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	1	-4	15.0	16.4	-1.43	11.8	16.2	-4.37
Greg Anthony	27	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-3	4	16.9	15.8	1.08	13.9	16.0	-2.06
Shawn Kemp	35	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-3	4	17.7	15.2	2.48	14.6	15.9	-1.26
Damon Stoudamire	64	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-2	2	15.8	16.9	-1.08	15.6	14.8	0.81
Rasheed Wallace	73	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.52	0	-2	2	15.7	18.1	-2.40	15.3	15.6	-0.26
Dale Davis	56	56	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.31	-8	6	-14	16.6	15.5	1.10	15.2	15.6	-0.39
Steven Smith	54	56	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.51	-2	0	-2	16.3	15.8	0.50	16.1	14.2	1.94
Bonzi Wells	45	44	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.47	-5	3	-8	15.4	16.8	-1.36	15.1	15.5	-0.41

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	61	61	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.53	5	-3	8	16.3	13.5	2.86	16.6	15.2	1.34
Matt Maloney	43	44	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.36	7	-5	12	16.5	14.3	2.23	16.6	15.7	0.93
Jason Terry	44	44	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.37	-1	3	-4	14.7	15.9	-1.15	16.2	16.1	0.05
Dikembe Mutombo	60	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	0	2	16.2	13.7	2.50	16.9	14.8	2.06
Larry Robinson	46	44	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	4	-6	13.7	17.0	-3.26	15.0	17.2	-2.24
Lorenzen Wright	51	50	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.33	-3	5	-8	14.3	16.7	-2.45	15.4	17.0	-1.67
Chris Crawford	50	51	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	0	2	17.1	13.3	3.84	17.4	14.5	2.96
Hanno Mottola	20	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	-1	4	12.9	16.0	-3.13	15.5	16.3	-0.81
Alan Henderson	53	53	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	2	-2	16.3	14.0	2.34	16.5	15.6	0.95
DerMarr Johnson	27	26	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	3	-4	12.7	16.4	-3.74	14.5	16.8	-2.28
Anthony Johnson	5	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.03	-2	4	-6	10.4	15.6	-5.23	7.0	16.6	-9.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 77, DET 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.46,0.47,0.29,0.55,0.74,1	92.0%
CLE 99, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.38,0.32,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.29,0.55,0.73,1	92.0%
ORL 95, BKN 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.41,0.73,1	91.2%