NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	88		Excitement	10.3 [38]		MVP	Bob Sura (GSW): +25.7%
Golden State Warriors	89		Comeback	2.1 [541]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): -27.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0.22	-0.01	0.22	-0.02	14	50%	0.28	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.06,0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.01	15	71%	0.23	3	-0.13	8	50%	-0.05
Corey Maggette	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	0.00	10	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09	-0.07	-0.06	-0.04	14	37%	-0.01	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	7	43%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	7	33%	-0.11	2	-0.09	4	0%	-0.10
Keyon Dooling	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	3	25%	-0.16	2	-0.10	6	50%	-0.06

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.26	0.26	0.04	0.22	0.00	14	59%	0.32	1	-0.06	9	44%	0.02
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.15	0.00	12	56%	0.20	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.05
Chris Mullin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	19	37%	-0.09	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.17,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.10	-0.16	0.02	27	44%	-0.18	3	-0.10	7	57%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.7	25.2	17.4	21.3	1.8	41.9	132.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -28.1%

GSW +39.8%

GSW +7.3%

GSW +17.3%

GSW +13.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	15.5	97.8	95.7	100.9
season	16.1	15.0		99.5	95.3
opponent	14.9	15.5		104.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.8	17.6	16.5	13.3	15.5
GSW	14.6	17.6	17.0	15.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	12	14	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.28	-1	0	-1	19.7	14.8	4.86	15.6	16.1	-0.52
Sean Rooks	29	30	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.01	3	-4	7	13.9	16.2	-2.25	16.2	15.9	0.33
Keyon Dooling	32	31	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.07	-1	0	-1	15.8	15.3	0.51	17.6	15.2	2.35
Cherokee Parks	34	34	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-3	5	15.7	15.3	0.36	14.8	16.7	-1.87
Eric Piatkowski	67	67	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-5	9	15.4	15.6	-0.21	14.7	19.5	-4.79
Derek Strong	19	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	1	-3	17.1	15.0	2.02	16.0	16.0	-0.01
Lamar Odom	75	78	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.43	6	-7	13	14.8	18.7	-3.93	16.3	14.3	2.00
Darius Miles	29	31	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-1	1	14.6	15.9	-1.28	17.7	15.1	2.60
Jeff McInnis	58	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.54	0	-1	1	15.3	15.8	-0.51	15.2	17.6	-2.35
Michael Olowokandi	60	61	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	5	-11	16.3	13.8	2.43	16.3	15.5	0.78
Corey Maggette	35	38	-1.00	0.50	-1.50	-0.71	-10	9	-19	15.0	15.7	-0.70	16.9	15.4	1.54

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Jackson	69	68	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.67	7	-6	13	15.7	17.0	-1.28	15.9	14.0	1.87
Mookie Blaylock	78	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-5	11	15.5	18.7	-3.25	15.7	14.4	1.27
Chris Mullin	13	12	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.40	5	-4	9	16.5	15.9	0.61	19.7	14.8	4.86
Antawn Jamison	93	90	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	16.0	0.0	16.01	15.5	0.0	15.46
Vonteego Cummings	29	28	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.35	0	1	-1	16.9	15.6	1.34	14.1	16.1	-1.96
Bob Sura	75	73	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.44	-4	5	-9	16.0	16.1	-0.06	14.8	18.4	-3.64
Adonal Foyle	73	70	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.24	-2	3	-5	16.1	15.6	0.52	15.5	15.4	0.01
Corie Blount	35	34	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.17	-8	9	-17	16.7	15.6	1.04	15.2	15.6	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.4,0.61,0.36,0.68,0.86,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 87, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.61,0.46,0.77,0.85,1	92.7%
TOR 73, DET 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.64,0.45,0.84,0.91,1	92.1%
MEM 94, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.6,0.53,0.69,0.63,0.76,0.91,1	92.1%