NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	95		Excitement	8.5 [202]		MVP	Ersan Ilyasova (ATL): +38.4%
Atlanta Hawks	100		Comeback	9.1 [203]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -20.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Seth Curry	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.18,0.34	0.12	0.23	0.01	13	75%	0.46	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.08
Nerlens Noel	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nicolas Brussino	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Bentil	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	55%	0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	50%	0.01	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Devin Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Quinn Cook	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	9	28%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.09,0,0,-0.19	0.08	-0.27	-0.00	19	60%	0.03	3	-0.21	4	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.13	-0.02	12	44%	-0.10	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.32,0.38	0.38	0.20	0.18	0.00	7	112%	0.38	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.00	0.17	-0.01	9	50%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,0.07	0.07	-0.07	0.10	-0.04	12	56%	0.30	6	-0.24	8	75%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.08	0.01	11	68%	0.08	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.02	5	87%	0.10	5	-0.18	6	67%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.14	-0.00	13	61%	0.06	7	-0.26	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.5	27.3	15.6	23.6	1.0	34.1	132.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +57.3%

DAL -3.8%

DAL -0.2%

DAL -3.4%

ATL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ATL	NBA	DAL	ATL	NBA
this game	16.8	13.8	14.8	100.0	107.5	107.7
season	16.2	14.4		104.4	104.2
opponent	14.9	14.7		104.6	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.9	16.5	17.3	14.6	16.8
ATL	13.0	14.1	14.6	13.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Salah Mejri	25	26	0.37	-0.87	1.25	0.11	9	-14	23	16.1	17.0	-0.95	14.5	13.6	0.99
Quinn Cook	25	26	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.21	2	-7	9	18.3	16.2	2.04	13.1	14.1	-1.04
Dwight Powell	20	20	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-7	9	17.7	16.5	1.23	14.8	13.5	1.30
Ben Bentil	10	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-5	5	13.9	17.1	-3.22	14.3	13.8	0.56
Devin Harris	31	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-4	3	15.7	17.3	-1.59	14.3	13.6	0.74
Nicolas Brussino	17	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	1	-7	19.5	16.2	3.35	12.5	14.1	-1.66
Nerlens Noel	33	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	0	-5	18.6	15.8	2.85	12.7	14.4	-1.68
Dorian Finney-Smith	45	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-8	11	16.2	17.3	-1.02	15.1	12.6	2.45
Seth Curry	68	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-4	3	16.9	16.6	0.26	13.7	14.1	-0.45
Harrison Barnes	75	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	1	-7	16.9	16.3	0.54	13.7	14.3	-0.67
Dirk Nowitzki	58	55	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.44	-10	5	-15	16.1	17.9	-1.78	13.7	14.0	-0.34
Yogi Ferrell	68	65	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.49	-12	7	-19	16.3	18.1	-1.81	13.6	14.2	-0.60

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	49	49	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.49	10	-5	15	14.4	13.2	1.18	15.6	18.0	-2.41
Kent Bazemore	59	63	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.29	9	-4	13	13.1	15.1	-1.99	17.0	16.4	0.61
Tim Hardaway Jr.	43	40	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.55	0	5	-5	14.9	12.9	2.01	15.7	17.6	-1.86
Dennis Schroder	65	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	1	3	13.3	15.0	-1.68	16.9	16.4	0.50
Paul Millsap	74	75	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	5	-5	13.4	15.4	-2.00	17.0	16.0	0.99
Malcolm Delaney	30	30	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	2	1	14.1	13.7	0.40	15.6	17.3	-1.72
Taurean Prince	24	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.06	1	4	-3	13.5	13.9	-0.44	17.8	16.4	1.36
Thabo Sefolosha	60	63	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	5	-5	13.9	13.7	0.20	16.9	16.6	0.28
Dwight Howard	63	66	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.16	0	5	-5	13.9	13.7	0.14	17.4	15.3	2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.46,0.32,0.36,0.1,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.28,0.15,0.42,1	92.6%
DEN 104, BKN 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.42,1	91.0%
SAS 103, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.63,0.62,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.47,0.39,0.29,0.57,0.58,1	90.5%