NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	92		Excitement	4.5 [897]		MVP	Lawrence Funderburke (SAC): +14.1%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	1.9 [1011]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -21.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sherman Douglas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	10	59%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	5	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	27	52%	0.07	5	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Gheorghe Muresan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	9	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamie Feick	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.02	-0.02	22	26%	-0.18	2	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.01	10	90%	0.15	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	18	62%	0.11	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	13	57%	0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	7	29%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	14	32%	-0.05	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.6	27.0	14.8	25.4	2.4	24.6	119.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +50.3%

NJN -1.2%

SAC +9.6%

NJN -8.9%

SAC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SAC	NBA	NJN	SAC	NBA
this game	16.3	13.7	15.2	95.8	109.4	101.7
season	15.5	13.8		102.1	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.7		100.7	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.8	18.1	17.4	15.1	16.3
SAC	12.3	13.2	13.9	15.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	33	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.19	6	-19	25	17.5	15.6	1.91	13.8	13.6	0.20
Gheorghe Muresan	13	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-13	13	18.1	16.0	2.06	13.8	13.7	0.16
Jim McIlvaine	34	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-9	5	14.9	17.0	-2.14	12.5	14.3	-1.77
Elliot Perry	5	6	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-5	-3	20.2	16.1	4.12	17.8	13.4	4.40
Lucious Harris	35	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-9	5	16.6	16.1	0.49	13.8	13.7	0.10
Jamie Feick	61	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-9	5	16.3	16.2	0.10	14.1	13.0	1.14
Sherman Douglas	65	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-5	-3	16.5	15.8	0.67	13.5	14.1	-0.57
Stephon Marbury	91	90	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-8	3	16.1	20.2	-4.12	13.4	17.8	-4.40
Kendall Gill	53	54	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.16	-22	9	-31	15.3	17.5	-2.13	14.0	13.4	0.58
Keith Van Horn	90	91	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.08	-16	3	-19	16.4	15.3	1.02	13.7	13.2	0.54

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Funderburke	49	48	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.07	21	-8	29	14.5	12.9	1.68	16.8	15.8	1.00
Jon Barry	47	46	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.04	13	0	13	14.4	13.1	1.32	16.6	16.0	0.61
Chris Webber	85	85	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	9	-5	13.3	16.9	-3.61	16.2	17.4	-1.21
Nick Anderson	70	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	5	3	13.0	15.6	-2.62	15.8	17.5	-1.71
Jason Williams	61	60	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	5	3	13.2	14.5	-1.27	16.4	16.1	0.33
Vlade Divac	36	37	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	8	-3	14.8	13.1	1.71	16.5	16.2	0.32
Peja Stojakovic	31	31	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	8	-3	14.4	13.4	1.00	16.7	16.1	0.62
Darrick Martin	35	36	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	8	-3	14.5	13.2	1.27	16.1	16.4	-0.33
Corliss Williamson	44	46	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	13	-13	13.6	13.8	-0.13	16.4	16.2	0.23
Scot Pollard	22	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	17	-21	11.7	14.3	-2.57	15.4	16.6	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, DEN 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
NOH 90, UTA 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CHI 97, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.98,1	95.5%