NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	90		Excitement	3.1 [1154]		MVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): +16.4%
Utah Jazz	116		Comeback	1.9 [759]		LVP	Antonio Daniels (NOH): -7.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	0.02	0.05	18	67%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Rasual Butler	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	71%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Hilton Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	8	58%	-0.02	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
David West	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	14	39%	-0.01	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Antonio Daniels	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	5	38%	-0.03	5	-0.04	3	100%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.00	15	63%	0.16	0	0.00	13	69%	-0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	10	71%	0.12	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	9	71%	0.08	2	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.04	7	71%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	42%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	36%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.04	10	54%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	28.5	17.6	26.3	1.7	30.4	131.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +31.7%

UTA +2.2%

UTA +19.2%

NOH -4.5%

UTA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	UTA	NBA	NOH	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	15.5	97.8	127.5	106.4
season	16.6	15.3		105.9	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.6		105.4	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	13.9	18.6	17.1	13.6	15.7
UTA	13.8	15.7	15.6	18.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Marks	14	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-25	24	11.9	16.4	-4.43	19.4	15.2	4.19
Hilton Armstrong	26	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.28	-10	-16	6	15.1	15.9	-0.85	15.2	16.0	-0.81
Morris Peterson	23	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.16	-6	-20	14	13.6	16.4	-2.77	18.5	14.9	3.57
Devin Brown	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-25	24	18.2	15.4	2.81	19.2	15.4	3.81
Antonio Daniels	31	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.16	-9	-17	8	15.0	16.0	-0.98	18.2	14.6	3.64
Melvin Ely	22	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-20	14	16.2	15.5	0.65	19.8	14.5	5.31
James Posey	48	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.18	-11	-15	4	15.5	15.8	-0.30	16.4	15.1	1.37
Rasual Butler	49	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	-14	2	15.7	15.7	0.02	14.3	17.6	-3.31
David West	62	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	-11	-4	15.9	15.3	0.62	14.6	18.3	-3.70
Chris Paul	61	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	-9	-8	16.0	15.0	0.98	14.6	18.2	-3.64
Tyson Chandler	60	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.10	-20	-6	-14	16.4	14.3	2.15	15.0	17.2	-2.23
Peja Stojakovic	55	54	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.13	-22	-4	-18	16.3	14.8	1.42	14.9	17.1	-2.13

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	72	73	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.36	30	-4	34	15.6	16.4	-0.80	16.2	13.7	2.52
Kyle Korver	39	39	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.37	28	-2	30	15.5	16.0	-0.44	17.2	14.6	2.59
Deron Williams	54	55	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.04	16	10	6	15.3	16.5	-1.13	16.0	15.2	0.83
Andrei Kirilenko	52	51	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.33	25	1	24	15.5	16.2	-0.68	16.6	14.5	2.07
Mehmet Okur	55	55	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.04	10	16	-6	14.7	17.5	-2.87	15.8	15.5	0.38
Matt Harpring	24	24	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.27	17	9	8	15.4	15.9	-0.51	16.0	15.6	0.48
Brevin Knight	37	37	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.22	10	16	-6	16.5	15.3	1.13	15.2	16.0	-0.83
Ronnie Brewer	52	54	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	25	-24	15.1	16.7	-1.58	14.6	17.2	-2.51
CJ Miles	46	46	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	24	-22	14.7	17.0	-2.30	15.4	16.0	-0.63
Kosta Koufos	12	14	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	27	-28	21.7	14.9	6.86	13.4	16.1	-2.66
Jarron Collins	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	30	-34	26.2	15.1	11.11	10.8	16.0	-5.19
Ronnie Price	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	30	-34	26.2	15.1	11.11	10.8	16.0	-5.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 94, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
WAS 76, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
BKN 96, NYK 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%