NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	3.3 [1099]		MVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): +11.2%
New Jersey Nets	106		Comeback	1.8 [567]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -11.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.02	7	82%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	13	61%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
George McCloud	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Horacio Llamas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marko Milic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	117%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	73%	0.03	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Hot Rod Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.06	13	26%	-0.07	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.02	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	6	94%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	-0.05	11	48%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jayson Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.12	12	43%	0.06	2	-0.00	4	50%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	18	56%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.01
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	10	38%	-0.01	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.14	-0.01	-0.12	9	15%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	18	54%	0.04	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	23.5	15.5	25.5	2.5	24.6	116.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +20.8%

NJN +4.4%

NJN +10.5%

NJN +16.3%

PHX -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NJN	NBA	PHX	NJN	NBA
this game	13.6	16.0	15.6	96.9	109.3	102.5
season	15.0	15.6		105.3	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.9		103.9	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	17.2	13.8	13.8	10.5	13.6
NJN	16.3	16.9	14.4	16.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horacio Llamas	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-26	40	8.2	14.4	-6.26	19.1	15.6	3.51
Marko Milic	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-26	40	8.2	14.4	-6.26	19.1	15.6	3.51
Hot Rod Williams	9	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-12	12	17.6	13.2	4.31	20.7	15.6	5.10
George McCloud	31	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.37	11	-23	34	11.0	14.9	-3.89	17.8	15.2	2.64
Steve Nash	33	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-6	0	13.2	13.9	-0.75	15.4	16.4	-0.96
Kevin Johnson	60	59	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.38	8	-20	28	12.7	15.2	-2.53	16.3	15.6	0.72
Mark Bryant	30	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	-3	-6	15.1	13.0	2.10	15.9	16.1	-0.16
Danny Manning	53	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-12	12	12.1	15.5	-3.47	16.2	15.9	0.33
Antonio McDyess	55	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.21	-19	7	-26	15.0	11.8	3.20	15.9	16.2	-0.31
Clifford Robinson	52	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.25	-21	9	-30	14.9	12.2	2.70	14.4	18.0	-3.61
Rex Chapman	60	59	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	0.37	-27	15	-42	15.2	11.1	4.15	15.2	17.4	-2.23
Jason Kidd	78	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.25	-25	13	-38	14.4	10.7	3.69	15.6	17.5	-1.89

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Williams	75	75	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	-6	24	15.7	17.2	-1.53	14.4	11.1	3.31
Kerry Kittles	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.17	21	-9	30	15.1	18.7	-3.57	15.0	9.9	5.14
Sam Cassell	47	48	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	-7	26	15.6	16.5	-0.86	14.5	12.8	1.64
Keith Van Horn	52	52	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	5	2	16.9	15.1	1.82	13.6	13.7	-0.07
David Benoit	31	32	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.25	0	12	-12	17.1	15.5	1.60	11.6	14.7	-3.11
Chris Gatling	45	44	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	7	-2	15.1	16.9	-1.82	13.9	13.4	0.52
Sherman Douglas	61	59	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	15	-18	16.1	15.9	0.29	12.3	15.7	-3.35
Lucious Harris	41	40	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.30	-5	17	-22	16.9	15.4	1.53	12.6	14.4	-1.83
Michael Cage	22	22	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	18	-24	17.2	15.7	1.53	11.1	14.4	-3.31
Kendall Gill	40	42	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.12	4	8	-4	16.3	15.8	0.53	14.6	12.9	1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 90, UTA 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MEM 111, PHX 126	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
DET 88, MIL 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%