inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 88 Excitement4.0 [1053] MVPKhris Middleton (MIL): +14.6%
Milwaukee Bucks 109 Comeback1.6 [446] LVPErsan Ilyasova (DET): -16.3%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.13-0.010.02894%0.172-0.062100%0.01
Anthony Tolliver0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.080.000.05872%0.031-0.002100%0.00
Stanley Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.031446%0.022-0.00786%0.02
Steve Blake0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Bullock0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000100%0.0010.002100%0.00
Aron Baynes-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.01737%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Andre Drummond-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.011447%-0.0100.00475%-0.00
Darrun Hilliard-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.120.00-0.10714%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.01433%-0.021-0.03450%0.01
Marcus Morris-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.01729%-0.043-0.0600%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.110,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.120.00-0.011130%-0.053-0.061100%0.01
Ersan Ilyasova-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.15-0.03-0.0170%-0.112-0.0600%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Khris Middleton0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.130.020.00784%0.171-0.03580%0.00
Jabari Parker0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.01-0.021052%0.0700.00367%-0.01
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.090.020.05878%0.081-0.02250%0.00
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.043100%0.0300.0000%0.00
John Henson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.07425%0.0020.0000%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.070.010.091071%0.042-0.034100%0.00
Chris Copeland00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rashad Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Miles Plumlee00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johnny O'Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.0530%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Carter-Williams0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.021060%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Greg Monroe0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.020.041950%0.021-0.022100%0.00
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.010.02859%-0.012-0.021100%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.731.316.326.32.728.6131.4
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +49.6%
DET -4.9%
DET -9.2%
MIL +15.7%
DET -1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMILNBADETMILNBA
this game16.514.814.995.7118.5105.1
season15.014.8104.9102.8
opponent15.315.1107.2105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET18.216.216.715.116.5
MIL14.513.814.716.214.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Blake12120.00-0.500.50-0.124-252916.916.50.4517.114.42.65
Joel Anthony990.00-0.500.50-0.093-242716.616.50.0416.714.62.09
Reggie Bullock1011-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-232516.916.50.4216.814.52.31
Anthony Tolliver4546-0.00-0.500.490.06-2-191715.417.6-2.1115.713.91.83
Darrun Hilliard2725-0.04-0.460.43-0.040-212113.617.8-4.2015.614.51.12
Stanley Johnson5050-0.15-0.350.210.09-8-13515.318.0-2.7615.214.30.87
Spencer Dinwiddie3536-0.16-0.340.180.22-13-8-514.118.0-3.8414.614.9-0.24
Aron Baynes3737-0.19-0.310.12-0.01-6-15914.517.9-3.4015.114.50.59
Andre Drummond4646-0.31-0.19-0.120.22-18-3-1518.214.93.2614.115.4-1.30
Reggie Jackson4544-0.34-0.16-0.180.01-12-9-318.314.93.4214.315.2-0.98
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope4849-0.39-0.11-0.280.17-19-2-1718.114.83.2714.115.6-1.54
Marcus Morris4949-0.43-0.07-0.350.07-17-4-1317.815.02.8114.215.4-1.19
Ersan Ilyasova4746-0.50-0.00-0.490.06-19-2-1717.615.42.1113.915.7-1.83

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Monroe60600.52-0.020.55-0.3028-73514.315.6-1.2917.015.61.38
Jerryd Bayless61600.440.060.37-0.152011914.615.2-0.6215.817.8-1.93
Michael Carter-Williams49480.380.120.25-0.00138514.315.3-0.9818.014.93.09
Khris Middleton41420.320.180.150.031011-114.614.9-0.2718.315.13.20
Giannis Antetokounmpo49500.280.220.06-0.011011-115.114.40.7717.215.71.57
Jabari Parker50530.260.240.02-0.031011-115.214.21.0017.415.32.11
Greivis Vasquez43440.120.38-0.25-0.11813-515.314.30.9814.918.0-3.09
Johnny O'Bryant33320.100.40-0.30-0.13813-514.415.0-0.6115.017.3-2.33
O.J. Mayo39390.100.40-0.30-0.13813-515.214.50.7814.518.0-3.58
Chris Copeland540.000.50-0.500.03-122-2315.214.80.4415.716.6-0.81
Rashad Vaughn870.000.50-0.500.09-324-2716.114.71.4717.716.41.29
Miles Plumlee540.000.50-0.500.03-122-2315.214.80.4415.716.6-0.81
John Henson1717-0.030.53-0.550.12-526-3113.915.0-1.0315.516.8-1.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 89, LAL 1210.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
GSW 92, MIA 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
PHI 97, WAS 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%