inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 99 Excitement3.4 [1121] MVPChauncey Billups (DEN): +7.9%
Denver Nuggets 118 Comeback2.4 [918] LVPBeno Udrih (SAC): -7.0%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Francisco Garcia0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.000.02673%0.062-0.023100%0.01
Kevin Martin0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.000.021957%0.093-0.066100%0.02
Jason Thompson0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.01-0.021453%0.072-0.05667%0.01
Kenny Thomas0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Donte Greene0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04520%0.0000.0000%0.00
Quincy Douby0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bobby Jackson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.021071%0.055-0.061100%0.00
Spencer Hawes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02650%0.012-0.02250%0.00
Mikki Moore-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
John Salmons-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.07-0.010.09872%-0.011-0.02250%0.00
Brad Miller-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.02-0.03420%-0.021-0.032100%0.01
Beno Udrih-0.070,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.01837%-0.032-0.0400%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.10-0.000.021071%0.143-0.061191%0.04
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.160.000.101767%0.0700.00683%-0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.01-0.02979%0.156-0.10683%0.01
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.02475%0.0500.00475%0.01
Renaldo Balkman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Nene0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.01952%0.011-0.01771%-0.00
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.07225%0.0020.00450%0.00
Sonny Weems0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.080.00-0.0850%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.01-0.01375%0.032-0.032100%0.00
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.010.031062%0.043-0.05650%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.82.433.416.326.02.031.0137.9
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +24.3%
DEN +9.5%
DEN +10.9%
DEN +5.9%
SAC -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACDENNBASACDENNBA
this game15.013.115.597.1114.6106.4
season15.014.4104.0109.5
opponent15.715.1105.2112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC14.115.917.412.515.0
DEN16.58.413.914.613.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Spencer Hawes43450.06-0.560.61-0.002-212313.815.8-1.9813.412.90.53
Bobby Jackson48490.01-0.510.52-0.114-232714.515.4-0.9513.312.90.42
Quincy Douby13140.00-0.500.50-0.238-273511.015.6-4.5614.612.91.67
Donte Greene1919-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-263312.115.6-3.5314.212.91.27
Francisco Garcia4344-0.05-0.450.410.16-7-12515.814.41.4412.813.4-0.58
Mikki Moore2121-0.14-0.360.210.03-6-13715.314.90.389.214.1-4.88
Kenny Thomas1110-0.16-0.340.17-0.02-5-14915.514.90.537.313.8-6.45
Jason Thompson7474-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.17-6-13715.014.90.1214.011.02.96
John Salmons7069-0.40-0.10-0.300.24-223-2515.314.21.1613.013.4-0.43
Brad Miller5556-0.41-0.09-0.310.27-234-2715.614.21.3814.311.72.54
Beno Udrih4445-0.44-0.06-0.390.20-223-2515.114.90.2713.412.90.57
Kevin Martin6969-0.620.12-0.740.11-256-3115.913.12.7912.514.3-1.79

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
J.R. Smith73720.54-0.040.58-0.4032-134513.312.60.7415.214.50.63
Nene56560.54-0.040.58-0.2828-93713.213.10.1115.214.70.52
Linas Kleiza70700.360.140.220.01127511.516.6-5.0814.915.1-0.21
Chris Andersen55540.320.180.13-0.2720-12111.814.7-2.9215.414.50.83
Anthony Carter63630.270.230.03-0.09127512.414.2-1.7614.715.4-0.74
Chauncey Billups60600.260.240.020.03811-313.712.41.2915.713.91.83
Kenyon Martin64640.150.35-0.200.00514-913.512.60.9016.113.22.90
Renaldo Balkman42410.070.43-0.360.27-726-3315.811.34.4513.915.7-1.88
Johan Petro18170.000.50-0.500.21-726-3314.712.81.8712.515.5-2.94
Sonny Weems14130.000.50-0.500.23-827-3514.612.91.6711.015.6-4.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 90, SEA 1090.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
BOS 78, NYK 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
NJN 92, SAC 1050.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,195.5%