inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 90 Excitement3.4 [1089] MVPWally Szczerbiak (SEA): +14.4%
Seattle SuperSonics 109 Comeback2.1 [756] LVPSebastian Telfair (MIN): -6.8%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marko Jaric0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.02850%0.0400.00250%-0.00
Antoine Walker0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.040.00-0.061436%0.0300.0000%0.00
Greg Buckner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.001100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Ryan Gomes-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.01845%0.032-0.04667%-0.01
Chris Richard-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.01367%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Corey Brewer-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01743%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Gerald Green-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Rashad McCants-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02837%-0.0420.0000%0.00
Al Jefferson-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.011745%0.012-0.06475%-0.01
Craig Smith-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.010.031340%-0.0700.00450%-0.00
Sebastian Telfair-0.070,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.010.051243%-0.0700.00425%-0.04

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.100.02-0.021064%0.1400.00850%-0.06
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.02-0.04671%0.093-0.02250%-0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.03671%0.0500.002100%0.01
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.001155%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Chris Wilcox0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.011164%0.073-0.0500%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.020.021455%0.033-0.03540%-0.02
Mickael Gelabale0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.06482%0.0010.00367%0.00
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.010.01657%-0.0010.002100%0.01
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.02650%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01617%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.028.215.728.32.426.6127.3
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +46.5%
SEA +2.3%
SEA +2.1%
MIN -1.7%
SEA +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINSEANBAMINSEANBA
this game16.514.315.496.8116.0105.7
season15.914.5102.299.1
opponent15.015.0107.9109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN14.019.616.715.916.5
SEA16.011.714.714.814.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antoine Walker33320.02-0.520.540.05-1-181716.616.40.2015.813.52.33
Michael Doleac1212-0.01-0.490.48-0.072-212315.616.6-1.0618.113.84.33
Greg Buckner1817-0.01-0.490.480.05-2-171517.316.30.9617.013.73.29
Gerald Green1516-0.14-0.360.220.03-6-13718.816.12.7412.414.7-2.25
Rashad McCants4142-0.15-0.350.21-0.12-1-181717.116.01.0614.114.5-0.39
Marko Jaric3533-0.16-0.340.190.31-16-3-1318.315.42.8513.814.6-0.85
Craig Smith4446-0.16-0.340.19-0.07-3-161315.717.3-1.6115.113.61.48
Corey Brewer5961-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-151115.019.1-4.0714.414.20.15
Chris Richard3941-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.21-3-161315.617.2-1.6213.914.6-0.76
Sebastian Telfair5861-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.26-3-161315.418.3-2.8514.613.80.85
Ryan Gomes4746-0.50-0.00-0.500.26-267-3317.016.01.0413.315.2-1.92
Al Jefferson6463-0.560.06-0.610.38-3213-4517.614.03.5913.116.8-3.68

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wally Szczerbiak55550.53-0.030.56-0.2928-93713.715.2-1.4917.515.02.50
Kurt Thomas46470.52-0.020.54-0.2727-83513.015.6-2.6117.415.61.73
Chris Wilcox56550.430.070.36-0.1620-12114.613.80.7816.616.30.28
Delonte West47460.340.160.18-0.07145914.714.00.7017.515.52.01
Jeff Green73750.340.160.17-0.101541113.915.9-1.9916.118.1-1.99
Damien Wilkins49480.270.230.030.12514-913.914.7-0.7717.315.61.67
Earl Watson41420.220.28-0.06-0.19145914.314.30.0216.216.7-0.53
Mickael Gelabale16140.000.50-0.500.21-726-3314.214.3-0.1514.416.9-2.44
Johan Petro16140.000.50-0.500.21-726-3314.214.3-0.1514.416.9-2.44
Nick Collison4846-0.020.52-0.540.22-827-3515.613.02.6115.617.4-1.73
Kevin Durant2323-0.120.62-0.740.05-625-3116.713.53.1014.417.2-2.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 99, DEN 1180.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
MEM 87, WAS 1070.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
BOS 78, NYK 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%