NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	78		Excitement	3.6 [656]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +13.8%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	1.9 [579]		LVP	Marcus Camby (NYK): -7.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	11	64%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	54%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Eric Riley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marlon Garnett	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	5	25%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Greg Minor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	5	25%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	17	53%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	5	36%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	17	64%	0.14	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	15	53%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	9	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	52%	-0.02	2	-0.01	7	57%	-0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	4	40%	-0.03	3	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.14	0.00	-0.08	10	41%	-0.01	4	-0.05	7	71%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	7	30%	-0.07	1	0.00	6	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.7	28.3	16.4	27.3	1.4	28.5	127.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -8.4%

NYK +15.8%

NYK +14.7%

NYK +26.1%

NYK +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	16.2	14.8	15.8	83.9	103.2	99.6
season	15.0	16.0		98.1	97.0
opponent	16.6	15.8		95.1	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	18.1	15.9	14.8	16.3	16.2
NYK	16.1	14.1	12.9	16.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Riley	16	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-14	10	16.8	16.1	0.76	17.5	14.3	3.20
Greg Minor	31	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-19	20	15.4	16.6	-1.24	15.8	14.3	1.53
Vitaly Potapenko	42	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-16	14	17.3	15.3	2.05	16.2	13.5	2.69
Marlon Garnett	25	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-12	6	15.4	16.5	-1.07	14.5	14.9	-0.38
Dana Barros	40	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-11	4	15.6	16.6	-0.98	15.8	14.0	1.78
Bruce Bowen	34	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-10	2	16.4	16.1	0.36	15.0	14.6	0.39
Paul Pierce	28	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-9	0	14.7	16.8	-2.10	12.3	15.8	-3.52
Walter McCarty	42	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-12	6	15.6	16.7	-1.07	16.1	13.8	2.30
Antoine Walker	51	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.09	-12	-6	-6	16.7	15.6	1.07	13.8	16.1	-2.30
Tony Battie	57	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-9	0	16.1	16.4	-0.34	14.1	15.9	-1.86
Kenny Anderson	44	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	-6	-6	16.9	15.6	1.34	14.1	15.4	-1.31
Ron Mercer	55	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	-2	-14	16.5	15.7	0.89	14.1	15.7	-1.61

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	60	60	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.07	18	0	18	14.5	15.3	-0.80	15.6	17.2	-1.60
Latrell Sprewell	60	60	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	5	8	15.3	13.9	1.36	16.4	15.7	0.71
Marcus Camby	53	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	4	10	14.7	14.8	-0.11	15.6	17.0	-1.43
Allan Houston	57	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	6	6	14.6	15.0	-0.40	16.7	15.3	1.35
Larry Johnson	68	68	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	9	0	15.2	13.6	1.57	16.4	15.5	0.96
Patrick Ewing	51	52	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.07	11	7	4	14.5	15.2	-0.70	16.2	16.1	0.11
Charlie Ward	64	63	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	13	-8	15.5	13.3	2.19	16.5	15.6	0.86
Kurt Thomas	43	42	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	14	-10	14.5	15.0	-0.47	16.5	15.9	0.62
Rick Brunson	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	7.7	15.1	-7.35	12.0	16.4	-4.37
David Wingate	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	11.2	15.0	-3.79	13.6	16.3	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 72, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
DET 88, MIL 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MEM 87, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%