NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	87		Excitement	8.9 [133]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): +12.6%
Washington Wizards	89		Comeback	5.6 [352]		LVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): -38.8%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	14	59%	0.13	0	0.00	11	82%	0.06
Joe Stephens	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	4	33%	-0.04	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Michael Dickerson	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	14	25%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.29,-0.3	-0.05	-0.20	0.05	12	60%	-0.09	5	-0.22	6	100%	0.05
Bryant Reeves	-0.32	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.13,-0.32	-0.01	-0.31	-0.00	26	46%	-0.30	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.39	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.39	-0.12	-0.28	-0.01	8	31%	0.01	4	-0.40	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	9	44%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	74%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Jordan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gerard King	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	4	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	-0.00	13	58%	0.12	2	-0.19	7	86%	0.02
Michael Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	11	44%	-0.04	4	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	7	30%	-0.21	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.32	-0.32	-0.07	-0.25	-0.00	9	62%	-0.02	5	-0.30	8	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	30.4	15.4	27.2	2.6	45.6	147.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +45.0%

WAS +9.0%

WAS +7.6%

VAN -8.1%

VAN -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	WAS	NBA	VAN	WAS	NBA
this game	17.3	15.0	15.2	96.7	101.1	101.7
season	15.9	15.5		99.5	101.1
opponent	14.8	15.0		104.4	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	17.0	16.5	18.8	17.3	17.3
WAS	13.6	15.5	16.3	14.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Felipe Lopez	22	22	0.25	-0.75	1.01	-0.04	10	-12	22	18.1	17.1	1.05	14.8	15.1	-0.29
Joe Stephens	19	19	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.06	6	-8	14	17.3	17.4	-0.10	15.4	14.9	0.55
Brent Price	27	25	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-7	12	16.3	17.8	-1.50	16.7	14.3	2.36
Cherokee Parks	31	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-3	4	17.6	17.2	0.41	16.0	14.4	1.56
Bryant Reeves	73	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.31	2	-4	6	17.6	16.4	1.15	14.9	15.2	-0.23
Mike Bibby	64	64	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.42	-6	4	-10	17.5	16.9	0.59	14.1	17.3	-3.22
Othella Harrington	75	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.38	-8	6	-14	17.3	17.8	-0.55	14.8	15.9	-1.14
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	71	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.38	-8	6	-14	17.4	17.3	0.10	14.9	15.4	-0.55
Michael Dickerson	68	66	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.40	-12	10	-22	17.1	18.1	-1.05	15.1	14.8	0.29

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jordan	22	21	1.22	-0.72	1.93	0.84	13	-11	24	12.9	15.7	-2.83	17.0	17.4	-0.45
Aaron Williams	59	59	1.00	-0.50	1.49	0.53	16	-14	30	14.8	15.3	-0.43	17.7	16.6	1.07
Ike Austin	60	61	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-6	14	15.1	14.7	0.40	16.8	18.4	-1.63
Juwan Howard	53	56	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-6	14	14.9	15.1	-0.16	17.8	16.6	1.17
Mitch Richmond	47	47	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.57	-6	8	-14	14.7	15.3	-0.57	17.4	17.3	0.04
Jahidi White	9	10	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	1	0	16.0	14.9	1.13	20.5	16.9	3.55
Tracy Murray	28	27	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	5	-8	14.9	15.0	-0.09	17.7	17.2	0.51
Richard Hamilton	51	54	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.13	3	-1	4	15.1	14.8	0.31	17.2	17.5	-0.26
Chris Whitney	9	11	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.11	-10	12	-22	20.7	14.3	6.32	14.9	17.7	-2.77
Gerard King	20	21	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.03	-9	11	-20	16.0	14.7	1.31	16.6	17.6	-0.95
Michael Smith	24	24	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.09	-9	11	-20	14.8	15.0	-0.21	16.6	17.6	-1.04
Rod Strickland	58	59	-0.48	0.98	-1.45	-0.42	-2	4	-6	14.7	15.6	-0.93	17.6	16.8	0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.64,0.35,0.47,0.19,0.37,0.55,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 101, CHA 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.42,0.59,0.41,0.53,0.36,0.36,0.55,0.27,1	90.2%
NYK 85, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.42,1	89.7%
MEM 92, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.17,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.34,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.84,1	89.6%