NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	92		Excitement	8.0 [242]		MVP	Terrence Ross (TOR): +29.5%
Toronto Raptors	96		Comeback	5.9 [280]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -17.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	75%	0.15	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Mike Conley	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.08,0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	17	50%	0.21	2	-0.15	4	100%	0.05
Jordan Adams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	2	75%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarnell Stokes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Quincy Pondexter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kalin Lucas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	11	32%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	16	52%	-0.01	3	-0.08	10	60%	-0.17
Zach Randolph	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	18	45%	-0.07	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.05	0.24	-0.01	14	55%	0.32	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.15,0.23	0.23	0.04	0.20	0.01	16	53%	0.26	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	8	68%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	6	62%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	22	46%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	1.8	28.0	17.6	29.2	2.8	36.5	137.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +55.9%

MEM -0.4%

MEM -29.2%

TOR +23.4%

TOR +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	TOR	NBA	MEM	TOR	NBA
this game	16.5	15.7	15.1	103.4	106.7	104.2
season	15.9	15.6		103.8	109.1
opponent	15.0	15.2		106.8	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.0	14.2	16.9	19.2	16.5
TOR	17.5	14.5	14.4	16.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Adams	34	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-4	4	15.0	17.4	-2.47	14.3	16.6	-2.25
Vince Carter	54	55	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-5	6	16.1	17.1	-0.93	14.6	17.4	-2.85
Jarnell Stokes	18	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-1	-2	14.5	17.0	-2.50	14.2	16.1	-1.85
Zach Randolph	70	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.27	5	-9	14	16.5	16.6	-0.11	16.0	14.6	1.34
Kalin Lucas	11	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	3	-10	19.1	16.1	2.96	12.5	16.1	-3.68
Mike Conley	78	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.45	3	-7	10	16.1	19.1	-2.96	16.1	12.5	3.68
Tayshaun Prince	62	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	-2	0	16.9	15.6	1.35	16.7	13.7	3.00
Marc Gasol	74	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.39	-6	2	-8	16.9	14.3	2.60	16.0	13.9	2.11
Quincy Pondexter	44	44	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	7	-18	17.7	15.4	2.30	16.4	15.0	1.41

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	16	16	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.47	8	-4	12	18.0	15.2	2.81	19.6	15.8	3.82
Terrence Ross	62	61	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.50	-3	7	-10	16.6	13.7	2.92	16.6	16.3	0.30
DeMar DeRozan	70	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	1	2	15.9	15.1	0.76	16.5	16.5	0.03
Lou Williams	37	35	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	-7	18	13.8	17.0	-3.28	15.7	17.0	-1.29
Patrick Patterson	41	40	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	-6	16	14.2	17.0	-2.79	16.7	16.3	0.42
Amir Johnson	62	62	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.28	-2	6	-8	16.3	14.4	1.93	17.0	15.3	1.77
Greivis Vasquez	27	27	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	-2	8	14.8	16.1	-1.25	16.8	16.4	0.41
Kyle Lowry	67	68	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.30	-5	9	-14	16.2	14.3	1.92	17.0	15.0	1.96
Tyler Hansbrough	15	15	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	1	2	13.6	16.1	-2.51	13.3	17.1	-3.88
Landry Fields	10	9	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	3	-2	14.4	15.8	-1.45	15.1	16.6	-1.54
Jonas Valanciunas	43	42	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.03	-12	16	-28	16.3	15.1	1.17	15.3	17.6	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.17,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.34,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 98, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.36,0.54,0.47,0.32,0.54,0.45,0.74,1	91.2%
SAC 107, LAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.23,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.57,0.74,1	91.1%
MIA 99, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.43,0.42,0.26,0.33,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.68,0.72,1	90.9%