NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	98		Excitement	9.9 [64]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): +22.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	7.4 [279]		LVP	Rod Strickland (ORL): -42.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	-0.01	0.00	19	78%	0.26	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.00	8	78%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Steven Hunter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	2	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Andrew DeClercq	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	75%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	-0.00	8	44%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	16	52%	-0.04	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.08
Tyronn Lue	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	7	29%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.43	-0.08	-0.35	-0.00	6	31%	-0.34	1	-0.09	4	75%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.00	17	58%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.09	0.01	12	64%	0.13	1	-0.01	12	75%	-0.09
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	8	52%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.14
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	11	32%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	5	20%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.10	-0.15	-0.00	19	40%	-0.16	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.14	-0.12	0.01	15	31%	-0.24	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.0	32.2	15.6	24.7	2.0	36.6	138.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +19.0%

ORL -29.4%

CLE +27.8%

CLE +22.2%

CLE +10.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CLE	NBA	ORL	CLE	NBA
this game	13.7	16.9	15.7	103.2	106.5	100.5
season	15.7	15.7		100.9	99.8
opponent	15.5	15.4		102.3	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.7	12.5	14.4	14.7	13.7
CLE	14.0	15.8	17.7	21.3	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	56	54	0.30	-0.80	1.09	-0.03	11	-12	23	13.7	13.7	-0.01	14.8	19.9	-5.10
Tyronn Lue	58	57	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.12	9	-10	19	14.8	12.0	2.80	15.5	19.2	-3.69
Andrew DeClercq	41	40	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.04	3	-4	7	15.5	12.4	3.12	16.0	17.7	-1.69
Drew Gooden	12	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	4	-9	10.2	14.2	-3.99	16.2	17.0	-0.85
Zaza Pachulia	15	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	4	-9	11.9	14.1	-2.14	22.1	15.9	6.12
Juwan Howard	78	78	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.47	9	-10	19	13.8	13.4	0.40	17.0	16.4	0.64
Gordan Giricek	78	76	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.38	-8	7	-15	13.9	12.9	0.97	17.2	15.8	1.36
Rod Strickland	37	36	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.35	-10	9	-19	12.0	14.8	-2.80	19.2	15.5	3.69
Shammond Williams	56	56	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.54	-5	4	-9	13.5	14.1	-0.58	18.7	14.3	4.34
Steven Hunter	44	42	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.57	-4	3	-7	13.5	13.9	-0.40	16.0	17.7	-1.66

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dajuan Wagner	53	54	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.61	10	-9	19	18.3	15.1	3.13	13.4	14.2	-0.85
DeSagana Diop	32	34	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.39	11	-10	21	20.1	15.3	4.77	13.4	13.9	-0.55
Carlos Boozer	77	79	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.52	3	-2	5	17.3	15.3	1.96	13.6	14.3	-0.69
Eric Williams	66	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	-2	5	15.4	20.7	-5.31	14.0	13.1	0.82
Kevin Ollie	32	33	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	-12	25	20.2	15.2	4.91	14.3	13.4	0.87
Kedrick Brown	9	10	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.06	7	-6	13	28.8	15.7	13.11	13.9	13.7	0.18
Jeff McInnis	61	62	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.39	-14	15	-29	15.2	20.2	-4.91	13.4	14.3	-0.87
Ira Newble	8	8	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	10	-19	18.2	16.8	1.44	11.0	14.0	-2.99
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	66	66	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.02	-9	10	-19	15.3	21.0	-5.73	14.1	13.0	1.06
LeBron James	61	61	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.07	-10	11	-21	15.2	20.2	-4.91	14.1	13.0	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.36,0.54,0.47,0.32,0.54,0.45,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, NOH 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.77,0.74,1	91.7%
SAS 85, SEA 88	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.27,0.25,0.46,0.32,0.58,1	91.5%
MIL 99, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.96,1	91.3%