NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	85		Excitement	9.3 [87]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +64.0%
Boston Celtics	87		Comeback	8.0 [211]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -67.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.28	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.08	0.20	-0.00	18	67%	0.42	4	-0.14	6	67%	-0.05
Toney Douglas	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.26	0.02	0.24	-0.00	8	50%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawne Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Henry Walker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	5	70%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	11	42%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.68	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.68	-0.15	-0.53	-0.01	18	37%	-0.35	5	-0.32	4	75%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.64	0.64	0.14	0.50	0.00	15	73%	0.70	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.08	0.08	0.01	6	100%	0.25	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.07	-0.01	14	44%	0.10	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,0.05,-0.04,0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	16	49%	0.09	4	-0.17	5	80%	0.03
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.08	-0.01	8	11%	-0.13	2	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.3	-0.30	-0.08	-0.22	0.00	14	33%	-0.12	1	-0.19	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.7	30.0	17.6	28.4	2.6	38.2	147.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +42.3%

BOS +16.3%

BOS +9.5%

NYK -16.8%

NYK -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	16.7	16.8	15.5	101.2	98.9	105.7
season	14.3	15.7		108.6	104.8
opponent	15.8	15.5		99.6	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.8	15.8	17.5	18.7	16.7
BOS	18.6	18.4	15.3	14.9	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	35	36	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.04	7	-9	16	15.0	17.9	-2.90	17.6	16.2	1.33
Shawne Williams	16	18	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.01	7	-9	16	16.4	16.8	-0.39	16.6	16.8	-0.23
Chauncey Billups	61	62	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.17	1	-3	4	16.4	17.5	-1.14	17.5	15.0	2.49
Toney Douglas	43	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	4	-10	18.4	14.9	3.59	16.3	17.3	-1.08
Henry Walker	31	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	2	-6	16.3	16.9	-0.63	16.7	16.8	-0.07
Carmelo Anthony	58	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.39	2	-4	6	16.7	16.6	0.11	17.0	16.3	0.75
Ronny Turiaf	55	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.37	1	-3	4	16.1	17.9	-1.84	16.2	17.7	-1.49
Anthony Carter	23	26	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.61	-3	1	-4	17.5	16.4	1.14	15.0	17.5	-2.49
Amar'e Stoudemire	68	70	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.46	-9	7	-16	16.8	16.4	0.39	16.8	16.6	0.23
Jared Jeffries	30	34	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.59	-6	4	-10	17.7	16.1	1.52	17.2	16.5	0.67

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Davis	47	43	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.47	11	-9	20	16.4	17.3	-0.89	17.4	15.9	1.49
Ray Allen	77	74	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	-2	6	16.9	16.1	0.81	16.7	16.3	0.44
Rajon Rondo	78	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	0	2	16.9	16.3	0.56	16.7	16.5	0.21
Kevin Garnett	64	62	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.43	3	-1	4	16.7	17.0	-0.22	16.2	18.1	-1.96
Paul Pierce	74	70	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.42	-4	6	-10	16.4	18.8	-2.37	16.1	19.6	-3.54
Delonte West	20	19	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	0	2	16.8	16.8	0.07	18.6	16.1	2.51
Jeff Green	29	27	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	1	0	17.6	16.4	1.18	17.9	16.1	1.77
Nenad Krstic	10	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	2	-2	16.3	16.9	-0.56	16.5	16.7	-0.21
Jermaine O'Neal	41	41	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.02	-9	11	-20	17.3	16.4	0.89	15.9	17.4	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 93, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.42,1	91.1%
WAS 94, SAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.19,0.1,0.2,0.42,1	90.7%
GSW 95, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.33,0.58,1	90.6%