NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	93		Excitement	8.6 [186]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (BKN): +20.2%
Orlando Magic	100		Comeback	6.5 [295]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (BKN): -51.0%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.11	0.02	7	80%	0.24	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.07
Brook Lopez	0.18	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.25,0.18	0.03	0.13	-0.03	18	50%	0.28	2	-0.09	12	83%	0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	17	57%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Willie Reed	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.04	-0.02	6	64%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.51	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.35,-0.51	-0.14	-0.40	-0.03	11	22%	-0.30	3	-0.21	1	100%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	-0.00	12	61%	0.22	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	3	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.1,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.08	0.02	18	53%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.08	0.00	13	41%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.01	5	71%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	70%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	7	57%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.05	-0.00	11	46%	0.16	5	-0.21	4	100%	0.16

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	26.5	15.4	22.2	1.8	36.2	129.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +29.3%

ORL +2.7%

ORL +13.6%

ORL +6.0%

BKN -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	ORL	NBA	BKN	ORL	NBA
this game	14.5	16.6	14.9	101.1	107.5	105.1
season	15.0	14.6		101.9	103.6
opponent	14.9	14.8		105.2	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	16.0	14.6	12.9	15.0	14.5
ORL	18.3	17.3	15.3	15.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Robinson	8	11	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.05	3	-10	13	11.7	14.8	-3.06	14.2	16.9	-2.72
Willie Reed	18	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-7	7	13.4	14.8	-1.37	13.4	17.6	-4.21
Wayne Ellington	35	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-2	-3	13.2	15.4	-2.21	14.5	18.0	-3.56
Shane Larkin	45	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-6	5	14.0	15.1	-1.11	16.2	16.9	-0.68
Andrea Bargnani	26	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.18	-1	-6	5	15.7	14.1	1.60	17.8	16.1	1.76
Jarrett Jack	63	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-5	3	14.9	13.8	1.10	17.2	15.3	1.93
Thaddeus Young	54	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	3	-13	14.2	15.0	-0.78	16.1	17.2	-1.17
Joe Johnson	65	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	4	-15	14.6	14.5	0.04	17.1	15.4	1.75
Brook Lopez	74	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	0	-7	14.8	13.4	1.37	17.6	13.4	4.21
Bojan Bogdanovic	72	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	-4	1	15.4	11.5	3.89	16.9	15.4	1.55

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Oladipo	60	58	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.31	15	-8	23	15.6	18.3	-2.72	14.1	15.4	-1.33
Aaron Gordon	54	53	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-1	9	15.3	18.3	-3.02	13.9	15.5	-1.59
Evan Fournier	76	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-4	15	17.0	14.6	2.37	14.6	14.1	0.57
Nikola Vucevic	67	67	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.04	17	-10	27	17.2	14.9	2.30	14.8	13.9	0.91
Tobias Harris	69	70	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	-3	13	17.1	15.2	1.85	14.5	14.6	-0.06
Mario Hezonja	17	16	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	2	3	14.2	17.1	-2.87	15.9	14.3	1.61
Jason Smith	13	13	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.19	-1	8	-9	13.6	17.1	-3.45	13.8	14.7	-0.81
Andrew Nicholson	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	7	-7	16.1	16.7	-0.61	13.1	14.8	-1.65
Elfrid Payton	7	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	7	-7	21.0	16.2	4.78	20.2	14.0	6.25
Dewayne Dedmon	13	12	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	16	-25	16.2	16.6	-0.41	13.9	14.6	-0.72
Shabazz Napier	33	32	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.02	-9	16	-25	17.4	16.1	1.26	13.6	15.0	-1.41
Channing Frye	41	40	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.00	-12	19	-31	17.8	15.6	2.19	15.5	13.8	1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 85, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.15,0.26,1	92.5%
TOR 84, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.83,0.6,0.73,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.42,1	91.6%
LAL 92, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.45,0.74,1	91.3%