NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	92		Excitement	9.6 [65]		MVP	Joe Smith (GSW): +9.1%
Golden State Warriors	93		Comeback	2.9 [34]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (LAL): -52.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.02	15	53%	0.10	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.05
Sean Rooks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Eddie Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	83%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Corie Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	4	80%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	-0.01
Rick Fox	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	53%	0.04	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Jon Barry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.28	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.13	-0.14	0.02	18	42%	-0.20	3	-0.08	9	78%	-0.12
Robert Horry	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.31	-0.10	-0.22	-0.01	5	0%	-0.28	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.52	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.52	-0.15	-0.39	-0.02	11	28%	-0.38	3	-0.14	3	67%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	17	61%	0.11	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.06
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.02	14	58%	0.18	2	-0.13	3	67%	0.01
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	16	47%	-0.02	2	-0.08	8	87%	0.04
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	4	0%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	8	44%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	4	10%	-0.11	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.0	28.2	15.7	26.1	1.8	36.6	136.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +24.8%

GSW +17.1%

GSW +22.6%

LAL -17.5%

GSW +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.5	15.6	15.6	96.8	96.9	102.5
season	14.8	15.6		110.0	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.6		102.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.8	11.8	15.9	17.0	14.5
GSW	15.0	17.0	14.8	15.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	41	40	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-3	5	13.0	15.6	-2.61	15.7	15.6	0.05
Jon Barry	28	31	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.09	5	-6	11	12.5	15.3	-2.79	15.3	15.8	-0.57
Derek Fisher	30	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-4	7	12.9	15.2	-2.30	14.8	16.1	-1.35
Sean Rooks	30	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-2	3	13.3	15.0	-1.71	15.9	15.5	0.32
Corie Blount	45	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	1	-3	14.2	14.8	-0.62	14.6	16.6	-1.97
Robert Horry	46	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-3	5	15.2	13.8	1.42	16.8	14.6	2.21
Elden Campbell	65	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.40	-2	1	-3	15.0	13.3	1.71	15.5	15.9	-0.32
Nick Van Exel	65	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	3	-7	15.2	12.9	2.30	16.1	14.8	1.35
Eddie Jones	67	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.38	-6	5	-11	15.3	12.5	2.79	15.8	15.3	0.57
Kobe Bryant	58	60	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.47	-4	3	-7	15.2	13.4	1.85	15.5	15.8	-0.30

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	47	46	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.58	0	1	-1	15.7	15.6	0.15	14.8	14.2	0.62
Bimbo Coles	55	57	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.42	5	-4	9	15.7	15.5	0.23	14.6	14.3	0.32
Joe Smith	79	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-6	13	15.4	16.6	-1.22	15.2	11.3	3.91
Erick Dampier	67	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	0	1	15.6	15.8	-0.21	14.2	15.2	-1.06
Brian Shaw	50	50	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	0	1	15.3	16.1	-0.81	14.2	14.9	-0.69
Donyell Marshall	75	74	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	-3	7	15.9	14.9	1.01	15.1	12.2	2.91
Felton Spencer	29	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	1	-1	15.8	15.6	0.21	15.2	14.2	1.06
David Vaughn	17	17	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	7	-13	16.6	15.4	1.22	11.3	15.2	-3.91
Muggsy Bogues	41	38	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	5	-9	15.5	15.7	-0.23	14.3	14.6	-0.32
Duane Ferrell	20	20	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	4	-7	15.6	15.7	-0.06	12.2	15.1	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.45,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.68,0.73,1	93.5%
SAC 107, LAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.23,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.57,0.74,1	93.2%
CHH 76, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.45,0.72,1	93.0%