NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	91		Excitement	9.4 [85]		MVP	Rasual Butler (LAC): +35.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	97		Comeback	5.4 [314]		LVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): -22.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.27	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,0.27	-0.04	0.30	-0.01	21	42%	0.30	1	-0.03	8	25%	-0.12
Tayshaun Prince	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.01	13	57%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	9	78%	0.17	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	10	48%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Daye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ben Gordon	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22	-0.03	-0.18	0.01	13	45%	-0.17	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.35	0.35	-0.02	0.37	-0.00	17	43%	0.38	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.04
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.01	18	49%	0.11	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	2	125%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	13	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.07	-0.09	0.03	14	56%	0.08	1	-0.13	8	100%	0.03
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	10	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.4	28.8	16.6	24.6	2.6	37.2	136.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +5.4%

LAC +34.0%

LAC +37.3%

DET -27.8%

LAC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAC	NBA	DET	LAC	NBA
this game	17.3	16.0	15.3	104.6	112.8	106.0
season	16.8	15.5		104.0	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.2		108.5	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.0	14.7	19.3	18.9	17.3
LAC	15.7	14.7	15.8	18.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Daye	12	12	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.01	2	-8	10	15.1	17.7	-2.57	16.6	15.9	0.69
Ben Gordon	37	35	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-8	10	15.6	18.6	-2.97	16.1	15.9	0.16
Jonas Jerebko	30	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-1	-4	19.5	16.1	3.41	15.1	16.5	-1.36
Charlie Villanueva	31	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-6	6	15.8	18.1	-2.37	17.2	15.4	1.79
Jason Maxiell	39	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-5	4	17.4	17.2	0.25	17.3	15.0	2.28
Ben Wallace	49	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-3	0	17.2	17.4	-0.17	15.1	17.2	-2.03
Richard Hamilton	68	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-2	-2	17.5	16.6	0.92	15.6	17.3	-1.64
Will Bynum	44	45	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.37	-5	-1	-4	16.7	18.0	-1.29	17.5	14.3	3.24
Tayshaun Prince	67	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	1	-8	17.9	15.2	2.73	15.8	16.7	-0.93
Rodney Stuckey	58	56	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	3	-12	18.0	15.9	2.10	15.0	17.9	-2.88

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	74	75	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-1	8	15.6	18.3	-2.73	17.3	17.1	0.25
Chris Kaman	62	63	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	0	6	16.2	15.4	0.79	18.2	14.9	3.35
Travis Outlaw	34	34	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	-4	14	17.1	15.2	1.92	17.3	17.3	0.04
Steve Blake	35	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	-3	12	17.3	15.1	2.14	17.4	17.2	0.14
Baron Davis	53	53	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.27	0	6	-6	15.1	17.4	-2.33	16.8	18.1	-1.30
Drew Gooden	66	68	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	5	-4	15.8	16.6	-0.86	17.0	18.4	-1.37
Eric Gordon	68	68	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	9	-12	15.8	16.7	-0.86	17.3	17.2	0.11
DeAndre Jordan	29	28	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.11	1	5	-4	15.7	16.2	-0.50	17.3	17.3	-0.02
Craig Smith	9	9	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	7	-8	17.4	15.8	1.63	15.2	17.5	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.68,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 107, LAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.23,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.57,0.74,1	93.8%
LAL 92, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.45,0.74,1	93.5%
CHH 76, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.45,0.72,1	92.2%