NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	84		Excitement	8.7 [147]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +19.7%
Atlanta Hawks	87		Comeback	4.3 [461]		LVP	Roko Leni Ukic (TOR): -30.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.02	12	50%	0.12	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,-0.02	0.05	-0.05	0.02	14	58%	0.20	2	-0.22	10	80%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	11	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	20	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Joey Graham	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	7	29%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.3,-0.3	-0.09	-0.21	-0.00	8	50%	-0.03	5	-0.28	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.13	0.01	21	58%	0.26	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.13	0.02	15	70%	0.30	4	-0.11	3	67%	0.06
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	18	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.07
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Gardner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	6	17%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	13	41%	-0.06	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.7	2.6	30.2	15.7	25.1	2.5	30.5	137.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +14.9%

ATL +14.4%

TOR -24.8%

ATL +31.0%

ATL +14.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	16.0	15.2	15.5	91.3	93.5	106.4
season	15.1	15.8		105.0	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.6		106.0	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.1	14.1	17.3	15.6	16.0
ATL	13.6	15.3	15.5	16.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roko Leni Ukic	47	46	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.16	7	-10	17	15.6	16.3	-0.72	16.1	14.3	1.77
Jake Voskuhl	21	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-1	-1	17.7	15.5	2.26	14.9	15.3	-0.34
Andrea Bargnani	79	79	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.41	8	-11	19	15.9	16.4	-0.49	15.8	11.4	4.49
Anthony Parker	77	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-5	7	16.1	15.3	0.76	15.1	15.7	-0.64
Joey Graham	42	42	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	5	-13	15.6	16.3	-0.73	15.9	14.5	1.38
Chris Bosh	76	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.36	-7	4	-11	15.8	16.8	-1.02	14.7	17.3	-2.59
Jamario Moon	79	81	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	2	-7	15.7	17.4	-1.65	14.9	16.8	-1.91
Jason Kapono	39	39	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.38	-10	7	-17	16.6	15.5	1.08	13.7	16.3	-2.59

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	86	84	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.42	8	-5	13	15.0	17.9	-2.90	15.9	16.6	-0.72
Ronald Murray	66	66	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-8	19	14.9	15.8	-0.85	16.0	15.8	0.17
Mike Bibby	84	83	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.37	8	-5	13	15.0	17.0	-2.02	15.9	16.4	-0.53
Joe Johnson	88	87	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.42	2	1	1	15.2	15.2	-0.03	15.8	18.2	-2.36
Maurice Evans	64	63	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.49	-8	11	-19	15.5	14.4	1.10	15.4	17.2	-1.76
Solomon Jones	36	34	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	0	3	14.8	15.4	-0.60	17.8	14.9	2.85
Randolph Morris	0	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	3	-3	0.0	15.2	-15.17	10.0	16.0	-6.03
Zaza Pachulia	20	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	6	-9	15.4	15.1	0.29	16.1	15.9	0.23
Mario West	6	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.05	0	3	-3	18.5	14.9	3.56	13.7	16.2	-2.44
Acie Law	4	4	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	6	-9	20.2	14.9	5.31	13.5	16.1	-2.58
Thomas Gardner	11	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	6	-9	15.0	15.2	-0.20	17.7	15.7	2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.83,0.6,0.73,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 117, GSW 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.47,0.63,0.34,0.42,1	92.6%
BKN 93, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.42,1	91.6%
UTA 89, CHH 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.46,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.15,1	91.1%