NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	117		Excitement	10.3 [57]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (GSW): +82.5%
Golden State Warriors	120		Comeback	4.5 [219]		LVP	Corey Maggette (GSW): -7.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.56	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.28,0.56	0.20	0.37	0.01	27	62%	0.61	2	-0.05	14	100%	0.12
Travis Diener	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	4	100%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	55%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Troy Murphy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	4	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Jeff Foster	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.02	-0.03	7	30%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.04
T.J. Ford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	12	58%	0.10	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	14	36%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.82	0.82	0.18	0.67	0.02	19	70%	0.90	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.14
Marco Belinelli	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	13	55%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.05
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.03	0.01	11	66%	0.08	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.04
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	9	55%	0.09	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.07
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	10	54%	0.04	5	-0.11	6	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.8	30.2	15.3	28.0	1.8	37.4	142.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +16.3%

GSW +28.8%

GSW +13.9%

IND -8.1%

IND -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	GSW	NBA	IND	GSW	NBA
this game	14.4	13.2	15.5	112.5	114.3	106.4
season	14.1	13.8		106.5	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.3		111.2	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.8	13.2	17.0	13.7	14.4
GSW	14.5	13.9	11.3	13.0	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Graham	58	61	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.01	8	-11	19	13.6	15.4	-1.81	13.7	12.5	1.13
Rasho Nesterovic	14	13	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.03	3	-6	9	12.6	14.7	-2.10	17.0	12.6	4.36
T.J. Ford	52	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.39	8	-11	19	14.4	14.3	0.12	13.9	12.5	1.36
Troy Murphy	64	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	3	-9	14.7	13.9	0.83	13.5	12.7	0.82
Mike Dunleavy	48	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.41	5	-8	13	14.6	14.2	0.49	12.4	13.9	-1.53
Brandon Rush	19	18	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	4	-11	17.2	13.8	3.39	12.9	13.2	-0.35
Jeff Foster	57	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-4	5	14.7	14.0	0.62	12.4	14.2	-1.73
Travis Diener	32	32	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	8	-19	13.3	14.9	-1.55	12.2	13.6	-1.43
Danny Granger	89	89	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.40	-7	4	-11	14.4	14.4	-0.02	13.3	12.4	0.95
Jarrett Jack	87	88	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.38	-9	6	-15	14.4	14.3	0.11	12.9	14.7	-1.82

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	81	80	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.34	14	-11	25	12.7	14.7	-2.03	14.6	13.7	0.93
Jamal Crawford	97	96	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.42	6	-3	9	13.2	13.4	-0.21	14.4	13.9	0.55
Corey Maggette	76	76	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.53	0	3	-3	12.7	14.5	-1.85	15.2	12.3	2.87
Kelenna Azubuike	73	73	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.43	-5	8	-13	13.2	13.2	-0.01	14.7	13.7	0.92
Andris Biedrins	56	58	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.24	1	2	-1	14.0	12.3	1.68	15.2	13.4	1.82
Ronny Turiaf	48	45	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.19	2	1	1	12.5	13.7	-1.18	13.6	15.0	-1.46
Anthony Randolph	21	20	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.08	7	-4	11	14.4	12.9	1.56	12.7	14.8	-2.02
Anthony Morrow	5	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	8	-13	15.4	13.1	2.33	11.5	14.6	-3.06
Marco Belinelli	68	66	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	8	-13	13.6	12.4	1.16	13.5	15.9	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.47,0.63,0.34,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 84, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.83,0.6,0.73,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.42,1	92.6%
LAC 90, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,1	92.3%
MIN 89, LAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.23,0.58,1	91.3%