NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	89		Excitement	8.4 [206]		MVP	Rashad McCants (MIN): +30.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	92		Comeback	4.6 [402]		LVP	Ricky Davis (MIN): -12.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashad McCants	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.3	0.10	0.20	-0.00	11	68%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,0.12,0.12	-0.03	0.16	0.00	14	44%	0.21	2	-0.09	8	100%	0.09
Trenton Hassell	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	11	55%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	6	43%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,-0.02	0.04	-0.07	-0.01	13	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Mark Blount	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.12	0.02	-0.13	0.01	10	58%	0.04	2	-0.17	4	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.16	-0.00	25	49%	0.21	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.08	0.00	6	76%	0.19	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.02	-0.02	15	67%	0.17	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.09	-0.02	10	57%	0.24	4	-0.16	1	0%	-0.02
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19,-0.31,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	9	50%	0.22	4	-0.24	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	8	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	26.3	16.7	25.2	2.4	35.4	132.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +49.9%

MIN -20.8%

LAL +45.0%

MIN -19.7%

MIN -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	17.6	15.6	101.1	103.4	104.4
season	16.1	15.6		101.0	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.9		104.3	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.4	14.5	18.6	13.6	14.9
LAL	16.6	18.9	17.4	17.7	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Reed	21	21	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-7	11	16.5	14.4	2.12	19.9	16.9	2.93
Mark Madsen	10	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	2	-7	16.8	14.7	2.13	18.8	17.5	1.33
Marko Jaric	26	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	1	-5	17.2	14.0	3.19	18.3	17.3	0.97
Mark Blount	56	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-1	-1	16.0	13.0	2.95	17.1	18.6	-1.52
Ricky Davis	78	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.50	6	-9	15	14.4	18.7	-4.28	17.5	18.2	-0.64
Rashad McCants	44	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-1	-1	14.0	15.8	-1.77	18.3	16.9	1.36
Marcus Banks	62	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.44	1	-4	5	14.0	17.2	-3.19	17.3	18.3	-0.97
Kevin Garnett	70	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.48	-2	-1	-1	14.4	17.0	-2.63	17.4	18.7	-1.34
Trenton Hassell	73	74	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.39	-11	8	-19	14.9	14.8	0.13	17.2	19.8	-2.62

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	73	71	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.48	2	1	1	17.4	18.7	-1.30	14.4	16.9	-2.45
Lamar Odom	82	81	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	0	3	17.4	19.7	-2.28	15.2	11.9	3.32
Smush Parker	65	65	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.48	0	3	-3	17.3	18.4	-1.09	14.3	16.5	-2.18
Kobe Bryant	80	79	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.46	-2	5	-7	17.5	18.8	-1.29	14.5	18.1	-3.57
Brian Cook	20	20	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	-7	17	17.3	17.7	-0.35	18.6	13.8	4.84
Luke Walton	42	42	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	3	-3	18.5	16.8	1.67	14.0	15.7	-1.69
Jim Jackson	13	12	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.06	7	-4	11	18.3	17.5	0.81	17.2	14.6	2.61
Andrew Bynum	16	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.06	1	2	-1	18.7	17.4	1.30	16.9	14.4	2.45
Ronny Turiaf	21	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	8	-13	16.0	18.1	-2.12	13.9	15.2	-1.38
Sasha Vujacic	33	32	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	4	-5	18.8	16.9	1.81	15.0	14.9	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.23,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 117, GSW 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.47,0.63,0.34,0.42,1	91.3%
NJN 110, PHI 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.4,0.55,0.71,0.57,0.58,1	91.0%
CHI 86, WAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.73,1	90.9%