NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	110		Excitement	10.2 [63]		MVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): +22.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	112		Comeback	3.6 [455]		LVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (PHI): -11.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.22	0.13	0.12	0.03	20	69%	0.40	2	-0.17	8	75%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.21	0.07	0.15	0.01	17	70%	0.33	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.14
Joe Kleine	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	9	57%	-0.01	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.07
Kerry Kittles	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09	0.02	-0.12	-0.00	13	50%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	7	44%	0.00	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,0.14	0.14	-0.07	0.22	0.01	10	54%	0.34	4	-0.20	6	67%	-0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	15	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.18,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.07	0.07	-0.06	0.14	0.01	21	54%	0.21	4	-0.14	15	87%	0.10
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rex Walters	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bradtke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	12	53%	0.09	4	-0.19	12	83%	0.11
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.14	-0.02	11	76%	0.08	6	-0.20	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	29.3	14.8	28.0	1.7	37.3	136.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +8.3%

PHI +13.6%

PHI +30.3%

NJN -29.1%

PHI +26.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHI	NBA	NJN	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	14.4	15.6	113.4	114.3	104.4
season	15.4	14.7		101.7	101.4
opponent	14.7	14.9		108.4	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.4	14.5	16.9	15.9	15.1
PHI	13.3	15.5	13.8	15.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	71	71	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.03	10	-12	22	15.1	15.1	-0.02	14.5	14.3	0.25
Kerry Kittles	45	49	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.24	9	-11	20	15.0	15.2	-0.19	15.2	13.6	1.61
Kevin Edwards	32	32	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-3	4	15.0	15.1	-0.11	14.9	14.2	0.65
Joe Kleine	31	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	0	-2	15.7	14.8	0.89	14.2	14.6	-0.36
Xavier McDaniel	25	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	7	-16	15.6	14.9	0.72	14.8	14.3	0.50
Kendall Gill	82	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.48	2	-4	6	14.7	17.3	-2.56	14.1	16.4	-2.31
Eric Montross	66	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.49	0	-2	2	14.8	15.7	-0.89	14.6	14.2	0.36
Sam Cassell	70	70	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	1	-4	15.5	14.2	1.27	14.2	15.1	-0.94
Jim Jackson	63	62	-1.23	0.73	-1.95	-0.70	-18	16	-34	15.1	15.1	0.07	14.1	14.9	-0.80

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clar. Weatherspoon	82	81	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.47	10	-8	18	14.8	12.7	2.02	15.3	14.3	0.95
Jerry Stackhouse	84	84	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.51	3	-1	4	13.8	18.4	-4.57	15.6	12.0	3.58
Allen Iverson	76	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.50	-1	3	-4	14.1	15.8	-1.72	14.9	16.0	-1.08
Scott Williams	82	82	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.52	-6	8	-14	13.7	18.4	-4.70	15.0	15.5	-0.51
Derrick Coleman	83	83	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.41	-4	6	-10	13.8	17.7	-3.89	14.7	17.4	-2.72
Michael Cage	11	10	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.08	8	-6	14	20.2	13.7	6.47	16.0	15.0	1.00
Doug Overton	22	21	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	-1	4	15.8	14.1	1.72	16.0	14.9	1.08
Mark Bradtke	5	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	2	-2	14.4	14.4	-0.04	14.6	15.1	-0.53
Mark Davis	31	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.00	-2	4	-6	15.2	14.1	1.06	15.8	14.8	0.96
Rex Walters	14	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.07	-1	3	-4	18.4	13.8	4.57	12.0	15.6	-3.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.4,0.55,0.71,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 92, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.54,0.71,0.54,0.68,0.58,1	91.7%
MIN 89, LAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.23,0.58,1	91.0%
TOR 91, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.41,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.43,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.57,0.71,1	90.7%