inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 101 Excitement10.2 [66] MVPGerald Wallace (CHA): +35.1%
Charlotte Bobcats 104 Comeback6.2 [274] LVPBaron Davis (GSW): -34.7%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ike Diogu0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.050.00280%0.111-0.02667%-0.03
Monta Ellis0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.07-0.020.00881%0.112-0.0600%0.00
Derek Fisher0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01662%0.041-0.031100%0.01
Calbert Cheaney-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.030.00667%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Adonal Foyle-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03-0.020.000.01643%-0.001-0.032100%0.05
Andris Biedrins-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.00150%-0.011-0.0420%-0.05
Mike Dunleavy-0.050,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.020.01844%0.023-0.072100%0.01
Troy Murphy-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.110.03-0.011731%-0.051-0.02250%-0.01
Jason Richardson-0.170,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,0.1,0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.170.00-0.160.012355%0.165-0.333100%0.03
Baron Davis-0.350,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.35-0.06-0.290.00942%-0.262-0.09667%-0.06

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,-0.03,0.350.350.020.340.001057%0.443-0.091070%-0.00
Jumaine Jones0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.050.050.16-0.040.072166%0.081-0.032100%0.03
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.010.001346%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Primoz Brezec0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.04-0.020.01860%0.021-0.024100%0.02
Matt Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.030.02667%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Bernard Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.020.00217%-0.0400.00250%-0.02
Brevin Knight0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.14,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.001152%0.153-0.20580%0.01
Jake Voskuhl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.010.01420%-0.061-0.022100%0.01
Melvin Ely0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.18-0.180.02-0.19-0.00853%-0.111-0.071100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.41.028.014.825.01.741.3139.2
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +40.0%
GSW -2.3%
GSW -9.9%
CHA +22.0%
CHA +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWCHANBAGSWCHANBA
this game15.215.115.6106.3109.5104.4
season14.814.8102.9100.5
opponent15.415.5104.6104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.117.013.816.315.2
CHA13.117.315.015.715.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Monta Ellis55540.72-1.221.940.1918-213913.617.3-3.6915.714.41.34
Andris Biedrins33350.16-0.660.82-0.026-91512.516.6-4.0514.315.6-1.29
Calbert Cheaney23210.07-0.570.640.041-4517.414.52.9617.614.43.14
Ike Diogu27280.04-0.540.58-0.229-122115.515.10.4616.214.71.49
Adonal Foyle4140-0.10-0.400.30-0.07-1-2115.315.10.1416.314.32.03
Baron Davis5858-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.503-6914.815.8-1.0215.714.21.49
Mike Dunleavy4746-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.26-85-1316.214.21.9815.015.2-0.24
Jason Richardson7779-0.570.07-0.65-0.48-30-315.015.8-0.7914.418.9-4.58
Troy Murphy5455-0.700.20-0.91-0.20-1714-3116.113.92.2213.816.9-3.15
Derek Fisher6059-1.200.70-1.90-0.53-2320-4315.913.92.0214.715.8-1.09

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jumaine Jones78790.95-0.451.400.3022-194114.517.9-3.4315.513.61.96
Brevin Knight82840.71-0.210.920.3014-112514.717.5-2.7915.612.23.40
Gerald Wallace77770.65-0.150.800.3311-81915.513.61.8716.111.44.62
Kareem Rush53520.320.180.140.59-912-2115.814.21.6314.316.3-2.03
Bernard Robinson890.250.25-0.000.1921116.915.01.9114.715.2-0.58
Melvin Ely41400.100.40-0.310.39-1013-2315.714.71.0714.615.6-0.93
Primoz Brezec4345-0.040.54-0.58-0.1330315.814.61.1716.514.02.55
Raymond Felton5454-0.060.56-0.61-0.0912-115.314.90.3515.514.80.63
Jake Voskuhl3027-0.160.66-0.830.07-811-1913.815.8-1.9912.016.4-4.40
Matt Carroll98-0.210.71-0.920.11-1114-2512.915.4-2.479.915.7-5.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.42,0.59,0.41,0.53,0.36,0.36,0.55,0.27,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 108, LAL 1120.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.55,0.28,191.3%
VAN 87, WAS 890.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.64,0.35,0.47,0.19,0.37,0.55,0.58,190.2%
DAL 112, NOP 1140.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.31,190.1%