NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	108		Excitement	8.2 [200]		MVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): +32.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	112		Comeback	5.3 [344]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (LAL): -10.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.2	0.10	0.13	0.03	18	60%	0.23	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.09	0.14	-0.04	0.01	19	71%	0.25	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	67%	0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Erick Dampier	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	61%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Brandon Bass	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.09	-0.00	20	48%	0.00	2	-0.08	8	87%	0.06
Eddie Jones	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.32	0.32	0.09	0.25	0.03	20	58%	0.35	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.05
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.09	0.03	14	82%	0.40	4	-0.16	10	70%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.05	0.01	14	68%	0.20	0	0.00	9	89%	0.08
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.07	-0.00	8	47%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	3	70%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ira Newble	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.07	0.01	3	100%	0.17	2	-0.19	3	100%	0.03
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.6	32.3	18.6	28.3	3.7	41.6	157.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +22.4%

LAL +23.5%

LAL +6.9%

DAL -3.7%

LAL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	17.4	15.9	15.4	124.1	130.2	105.7
season	16.1	14.6		108.9	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.4		104.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.6	17.8	19.8	15.8	17.4
LAL	14.7	16.5	16.2	16.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	44	46	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.18	7	-11	18	17.2	17.6	-0.40	16.6	15.0	1.61
Brandon Bass	1	0	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-4	4	12.0	17.5	-5.47	0.0	15.9	-15.88
Malik Allen	6	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-2	0	20.0	17.2	2.79	14.1	16.0	-1.90
Eddie Jones	39	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-6	8	19.3	15.9	3.41	16.7	15.2	1.48
Tyronn Lue	14	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	2	-8	21.4	16.6	4.80	15.5	16.0	-0.50
Erick Dampier	54	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.29	5	-9	14	18.1	16.3	1.77	15.7	16.2	-0.58
Josh Howard	75	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.53	5	-9	14	17.3	18.1	-0.79	16.0	15.2	0.80
Jason Kidd	72	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.40	-2	-2	0	16.7	20.9	-4.27	15.8	16.2	-0.38
Jason Terry	72	70	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.29	-10	6	-16	16.7	20.7	-3.94	15.3	18.4	-3.06
Dirk Nowitzki	58	59	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.22	-19	15	-34	16.4	19.4	-2.97	15.9	15.9	-0.06

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	80	80	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.33	11	-7	18	15.6	19.5	-3.89	17.1	20.6	-3.45
Sasha Vujacic	45	46	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.46	5	-1	6	16.7	15.0	1.74	18.3	16.4	1.87
Jordan Farmar	39	40	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.59	-5	9	-14	17.0	15.0	2.04	17.2	17.5	-0.28
Kobe Bryant	76	76	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.29	5	-1	6	15.7	17.5	-1.83	17.3	17.8	-0.48
Pau Gasol	69	70	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.38	-2	6	-8	15.6	17.1	-1.46	17.1	18.7	-1.62
Ronny Turiaf	13	13	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	-4	12	17.2	15.6	1.59	20.8	16.8	4.05
Ira Newble	4	5	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	1	2	16.0	15.9	0.12	19.2	17.3	1.91
Derek Fisher	47	48	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.19	9	-5	14	15.0	17.0	-2.04	17.4	17.4	0.03
Luke Walton	9	10	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	4	-4	17.9	15.6	2.24	17.9	17.3	0.56
Vladimir Radmanovic	48	47	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.00	-14	18	-32	15.6	16.3	-0.73	16.4	18.5	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.55,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 101, CHA 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.42,0.59,0.41,0.53,0.36,0.36,0.55,0.27,1	91.3%
MEM 98, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.26,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.52,0.52,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.42,1	90.5%
DAL 112, NOP 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.31,1	90.3%