NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	112		Excitement	9.9 [98]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +55.1%
New Orleans Pelicans	114		Comeback	8.0 [290]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -21.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.62,0.36	0.18	0.18	-0.01	16	76%	0.60	4	-0.24	13	54%	-0.07
Dirk Nowitzki	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.00	7	69%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Dwight Powell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	59%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06	0.10	-0.04	-0.00	9	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	82%	0.12	3	-0.13	5	60%	-0.02
Harrison Barnes	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.04,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.10	-0.00	18	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.55	0.55	0.25	0.32	0.03	32	64%	0.71	1	-0.16	11	73%	0.03
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	4	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	41%	0.01	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.09	-0.00	19	51%	0.01	1	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Darius Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	19	39%	-0.10	5	-0.12	8	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	30.3	15.4	31.1	0.8	34.4	141.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -20.0%

NOP +14.0%

NOP +33.6%

NOP +12.4%

NOP +9.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOP	NBA	DAL	NOP	NBA
this game	15.2	15.6	14.3	119.1	122.6	109.3
season	14.7	13.4		108.5	110.2
opponent	14.2	14.1		111.5	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.7	12.2	16.8	15.1	15.2
NOP	15.3	15.9	13.2	18.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	23	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.05	-1	-1	0	14.1	15.5	-1.36	15.0	15.9	-0.91
J.J. Barea	37	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	6	-14	14.2	15.8	-1.64	17.0	14.7	2.29
DeAndre Jordan	69	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.33	4	-6	10	15.2	15.0	0.22	15.8	15.3	0.42
Dorian Finney-Smith	40	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	5	-12	13.9	16.1	-2.19	16.4	15.1	1.30
Luka Doncic	65	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.34	4	-6	10	15.4	14.6	0.78	15.8	15.2	0.61
Devin Harris	29	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	4	-10	14.6	15.4	-0.78	15.2	15.8	-0.61
Dwight Powell	25	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	4	-10	15.0	15.2	-0.22	15.3	15.8	-0.42
Dennis Smith Jr.	57	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.50	6	-8	14	15.8	14.2	1.64	14.7	17.0	-2.29
Maxi Kleber	56	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.49	5	-7	12	16.1	13.8	2.26	15.2	16.2	-0.96
Harrison Barnes	69	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-1	0	15.5	14.2	1.25	15.8	15.3	0.42

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	63	64	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.31	13	-11	24	15.9	15.2	0.66	14.8	15.9	-1.04
Julius Randle	74	73	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-10	22	15.5	16.3	-0.84	15.8	13.0	2.84
Anthony Davis	82	83	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.46	2	0	2	15.8	14.5	1.25	15.3	13.7	1.62
E'Twaun Moore	48	47	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	-2	6	15.6	15.7	-0.08	14.6	15.7	-1.04
Jrue Holiday	69	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	2	-2	15.3	16.6	-1.26	15.4	14.4	0.98
Ian Clark	20	21	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.07	5	-3	8	16.0	15.5	0.52	16.0	14.9	1.02
Frank Jackson	16	17	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	2	-2	17.6	15.2	2.32	14.7	15.3	-0.55
Tim Frazier	43	44	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	5	-8	15.3	15.9	-0.55	15.5	14.9	0.60
Jahlil Okafor	12	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	3	-4	15.7	15.6	0.12	14.1	15.3	-1.19
Cheick Diallo	3	3	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	3	-4	15.7	15.6	0.02	14.0	15.2	-1.20
Wesley Johnson	15	15	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.15	-8	10	-18	15.6	15.7	-0.05	12.2	15.7	-3.52
Darius Miller	20	20	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.07	-13	15	-28	14.9	15.8	-0.95	15.4	15.1	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.31,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 104, CHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.47,0.4,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.55,0.42,1	91.4%
MEM 92, MIL 93	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.53,0.34,0.27,0.45,0.54,0.69,0.28,1	91.3%
SAC 107, LAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.23,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.57,0.74,1	90.5%