NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	98		Excitement	9.0 [142]		MVP	Ricky Davis (BOS): +76.9%
Boston Celtics	99		Comeback	9.8 [275]		LVP	Mark Blount (BOS): -40.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.30	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.3	0.06	0.26	0.01	16	59%	0.36	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.07
Bobby Jackson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	0.01	8	80%	0.24	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	7	59%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Lawrence Roberts	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	4	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	7	0%	-0.16
Dahntay Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
John Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.08	0.02	8	62%	0.01	1	-0.06	5	20%	-0.16
Mike Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	31%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.01,-0.07,-0.15,-0.34	-0.14	-0.22	-0.03	16	36%	-0.06	5	-0.27	1	0%	-0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.77	0.77	0.09	0.68	0.00	10	69%	0.79	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.04
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.33,0.5	0.50	0.21	0.30	0.02	13	81%	0.53	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	4	100%	0.20	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	9	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	5	57%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.41	-0.41	-0.04	-0.34	0.03	14	57%	-0.03	6	-0.38	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	30.5	16.3	25.5	1.8	36.3	136.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +84.1%

BOS +6.5%

MEM -29.4%

MEM -15.6%

BOS +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	BOS	NBA	MEM	BOS	NBA
this game	18.3	13.9	15.6	108.9	111.2	104.4
season	17.1	14.8		103.5	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.7		104.8	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	18.8	17.4	17.7	19.3	18.3
BOS	13.3	15.2	13.6	13.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Thomas	28	27	0.40	-0.90	1.31	-0.04	15	-16	31	18.5	18.2	0.24	14.4	13.6	0.85
Lawrence Roberts	34	34	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.02	11	-12	23	18.1	18.4	-0.34	14.0	13.7	0.28
Bobby Jackson	37	36	0.28	-0.78	1.05	-0.13	14	-15	29	18.0	18.5	-0.51	14.0	13.7	0.29
Dahntay Jones	21	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-2	3	18.7	18.2	0.54	14.1	13.8	0.32
Lorenzen Wright	50	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	9	-19	18.7	17.8	0.95	13.9	13.8	0.02
Eddie Jones	69	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	3	-7	18.2	18.7	-0.54	13.7	14.5	-0.81
Mike Miller	47	43	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.62	3	-4	7	17.5	19.2	-1.65	14.0	13.7	0.24
Shane Battier	44	47	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.46	-4	3	-7	18.7	17.9	0.84	13.9	13.8	0.13
Damon Stoudamire	53	53	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.34	-15	14	-29	18.5	18.0	0.51	13.7	14.0	-0.29
Pau Gasol	67	66	-0.95	0.45	-1.40	-0.48	-16	15	-31	18.3	18.3	-0.01	13.5	14.8	-1.31

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	53	53	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.58	7	-6	13	14.2	13.4	0.83	17.8	19.1	-1.33
Delonte West	64	64	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.53	8	-7	15	14.0	13.4	0.63	18.7	17.3	1.34
Paul Pierce	73	75	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.43	9	-8	17	14.0	13.2	0.81	18.7	16.5	2.20
Mark Blount	71	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.41	5	-4	9	14.0	13.4	0.51	18.0	19.3	-1.29
Ricky Davis	78	79	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.44	-3	4	-7	13.7	14.9	-1.20	18.2	19.1	-0.90
Ryan Gomes	12	11	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	-1	3	14.0	13.8	0.17	20.1	18.1	2.04
Brian Scalabrine	18	18	-0.09	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	7	-13	13.4	14.0	-0.51	19.3	18.0	1.29
Justin Reed	15	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.06	-6	7	-13	13.8	13.9	-0.06	15.7	18.8	-3.08
Al Jefferson	28	28	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.19	2	-1	3	13.0	14.3	-1.30	19.4	17.8	1.53
Kendrick Perkins	8	9	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	7	-13	14.7	13.8	0.98	18.2	18.3	-0.09
Dan Dickau	25	26	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.06	-7	8	-15	13.4	14.0	-0.63	17.3	18.7	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.26,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.52,0.52,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 90, IND 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.24,0.32,0.53,0.4,0.46,0.25,0.45,0.15,0.16,1	90.9%
DAL 108, LAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.55,0.28,1	90.5%
SEA 98, SAC 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.26,0.37,0.47,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.26,1	89.9%