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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 98 Excitement8.7 [134] MVPWally Szczerbiak (SEA): +45.1%
Sacramento Kings 104 Comeback11.8 [168] LVPDamien Wilkins (SEA): -33.1%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak0.450,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.450.290.160.001691%0.471-0.023100%0.02
Nick Collison0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.070.01675%0.151-0.034100%0.03
Earl Watson-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.02-0.02436%0.063-0.08367%0.00
Delonte West-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Durant-0.050,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.11,-0.050.00-0.040.022257%0.236-0.29367%0.01
Jeff Green-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01250%0.013-0.0700%0.00
Robert Swift-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.011100%0.024-0.0900%0.00
Luke Ridnour-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.050.00540%-0.032-0.0700%0.00
Chris Wilcox-0.120,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.030.02644%-0.043-0.07475%-0.01
Damien Wilkins-0.330,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.33-0.15-0.19-0.011421%-0.321-0.0210%-0.02

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Salmons0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.15,0.25,0.250.250.050.210.011559%0.313-0.06989%0.05
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.110.11-0.090.19-0.00937%0.183-0.08667%-0.01
Quincy Douby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.030.011054%0.061-0.02475%-0.02
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.040.040.06-0.000.021157%0.0400.006100%0.05
Kenny Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.030.00662%0.082-0.0510%-0.03
Darryl Watkins00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Orien Greene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Mikki Moore0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.00450%0.024-0.1000%0.00
Kevin Martin0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.06-0.130.032158%0.063-0.151173%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.52.533.215.429.53.539.3149.9
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +10.4%
SAC +7.6%
SAC +17.5%
SAC +18.4%
SEA -4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEASACNBASEASACNBA
this game14.214.215.497.0102.0105.7
season14.514.999.1105.6
opponent15.015.0108.0107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SEA15.011.514.615.914.2
SAC15.015.113.113.514.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Ridnour37380.20-0.700.91-0.038-142213.914.3-0.4214.813.80.96
Delonte West11120.07-0.570.64-0.054-101413.714.2-0.5214.914.10.83
Robert Swift41410.03-0.530.56-0.032-81013.314.8-1.4314.314.10.26
Chris Wilcox6466-0.03-0.470.440.03-2-4213.914.7-0.7714.813.11.66
Jeff Green2222-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-4-2-213.314.4-1.1713.014.5-1.51
Wally Szczerbiak6766-0.22-0.280.06-0.437-132013.715.1-1.3114.214.2-0.01
Nick Collison5657-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.21-2-4214.913.21.7014.513.80.65
Kevin Durant7072-0.670.17-0.85-0.20-1610-2614.513.41.1114.214.2-0.07
Earl Watson6464-0.700.20-0.91-0.29-148-2214.313.90.4213.814.8-0.96
Damien Wilkins7372-0.760.26-1.02-0.38-137-2014.812.72.0413.615.6-2.00

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brad Miller75751.16-0.661.820.2232-265814.413.60.7615.310.84.50
John Salmons91900.88-0.381.260.3518-123013.817.7-3.9714.610.93.68
Quincy Douby60580.57-0.070.640.319-31214.114.3-0.2113.914.5-0.60
Francisco Garcia65650.53-0.030.570.4242214.513.60.9314.613.41.29
Kevin Martin90900.480.020.460.3160614.214.3-0.1714.015.9-1.93
Shareef Abdur-Rahim44-0.170.67-0.830.10-915-2416.214.12.159.214.4-5.14
Darryl Watkins66-0.180.68-0.860.05-814-229.814.5-4.639.314.5-5.16
Orien Greene1516-0.200.70-0.910.00-713-2012.914.4-1.5513.214.4-1.19
Mikki Moore6765-0.230.73-0.96-0.08-511-1613.914.7-0.8013.016.2-3.20
Kenny Thomas3736-0.350.85-1.19-0.05-1016-2615.913.22.7614.713.90.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.26,0.37,0.47,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.26,1
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 115, NOP 1170.5,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.02,190.1%
MEM 98, BOS 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.26,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.52,0.52,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.42,189.9%
NJN 90, IND 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.24,0.32,0.53,0.4,0.46,0.25,0.45,0.15,0.16,188.9%