NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	115		Excitement	9.7 [117]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): +50.8%
New Orleans Pelicans	117		Comeback	54.6 [58]		LVP	Joe Harris (BKN): -7.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shabazz Napier	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.08	0.00	11	64%	0.18	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	7	79%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	9	52%	0.11	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
D'Angelo Russell	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.05	0.09	-0.03	-0.00	16	75%	0.27	5	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	64%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0	-0.04	0.04	0.01	23	41%	0.05	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Harris	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	6	58%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,0.51	0.51	0.11	0.43	0.03	19	60%	0.53	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.08
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	10	60%	0.16	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	5	90%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	16	50%	0.13	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	14	48%	0.06	2	-0.09	1	0%	-0.03
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	19	40%	-0.06	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.4	23.6	14.6	24.6	2.7	40.5	136.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN -7.1%

NOP +20.8%

BKN -13.6%

NOP +34.8%

NOP +15.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	NOP	NBA	BKN	NOP	NBA
this game	15.4	12.3	14.3	111.7	111.4	109.3
season	14.3	13.4		108.6	110.2
opponent	14.2	14.0		111.5	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.4	15.2	15.7	17.5	15.4
NOP	12.4	13.0	12.0	12.0	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Crabbe	50	51	0.31	-0.81	1.13	0.02	10	-12	22	14.8	16.0	-1.22	12.4	12.2	0.23
Ed Davis	45	47	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.07	5	-7	12	15.3	15.5	-0.13	12.2	12.4	-0.22
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	39	41	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.00	5	-7	12	12.2	17.4	-5.24	11.7	12.7	-1.08
Shabazz Napier	35	36	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-3	4	15.2	15.5	-0.31	11.7	12.7	-0.99
Joe Harris	54	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	2	-6	17.6	13.0	4.55	12.9	11.7	1.22
Spencer Dinwiddie	65	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.52	4	-6	10	14.9	16.2	-1.27	11.9	13.1	-1.23
D'Angelo Russell	58	58	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.47	-5	3	-8	15.5	15.3	0.13	12.4	12.2	0.22
Jarrett Allen	58	57	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.44	-7	5	-12	15.5	15.3	0.13	12.6	11.9	0.69
Caris LeVert	66	67	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.52	-5	3	-8	14.8	16.4	-1.60	12.5	12.0	0.53
Jared Dudley	45	46	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.40	-14	12	-26	17.9	13.4	4.49	12.5	12.1	0.41

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Mirotic	51	50	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.45	12	-10	22	12.0	12.6	-0.61	15.7	15.1	0.65
Jrue Holiday	83	81	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.47	8	-6	14	12.4	12.1	0.23	14.6	18.3	-3.70
Anthony Davis	81	80	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.48	5	-3	8	12.4	12.0	0.41	15.7	14.4	1.31
Solomon Hill	52	51	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.53	3	-1	4	12.0	12.7	-0.70	16.7	14.2	2.49
E'Twaun Moore	69	67	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.49	4	-2	6	12.4	12.1	0.27	15.2	15.9	-0.70
Wesley Johnson	19	19	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	3	-4	10.9	12.6	-1.67	15.3	15.4	-0.18
Darius Miller	10	10	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	1	0	10.7	12.5	-1.78	16.6	15.3	1.32
Ian Clark	43	42	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	7	-12	11.7	12.8	-1.08	14.0	16.4	-2.38
Elfrid Payton	66	67	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.17	-5	7	-12	13.0	11.1	1.89	16.3	13.8	2.51
Julius Randle	51	48	-0.55	1.05	-1.60	-0.20	-12	14	-26	13.1	11.6	1.52	14.7	16.0	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.02,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 108, MIA 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.45,0.1,0.16,1	90.9%
SEA 98, SAC 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.26,0.37,0.47,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.26,1	90.1%
MIN 113, CHI 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.24,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.43,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.33,0.15,0.16,0.09,1	89.8%