NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Excitement	8.8 [164]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +69.2%
Chicago Bulls	114		Comeback	17.0 [41]		LVP	Denzel Valentine (CHI): -13.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.30	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.3	0.15	0.16	0.01	26	57%	0.33	1	-0.03	15	87%	0.10
Jamal Crawford	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	8	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	10	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,-0.02	0.06	-0.08	-0.00	8	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	9	89%	0.05
Tyus Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	70%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	14	64%	0.09	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.69	0.69	0.12	0.58	0.01	26	56%	0.71	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.17
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	-0.01	7	86%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.00	8	57%	0.11	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	7	69%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.05	0.02	9	64%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Paul Zipser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	66%	0.10	4	-0.09	7	43%	-0.08
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	10	24%	-0.06	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	3.4	28.6	15.3	26.3	2.7	42.5	141.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +43.3%

CHI +13.9%

MIN -21.4%

CHI +12.8%

CHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHI	NBA	MIN	CHI	NBA
this game	15.4	13.2	14.7	113.0	112.9	107.5
season	15.3	14.2		111.8	103.2
opponent	15.0	14.4		110.2	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.1	14.7	15.1	18.1	15.4
CHI	13.1	14.1	13.1	12.7	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nemanja Bjelica	44	42	0.58	-1.08	1.66	0.11	16	-17	33	15.7	15.2	0.41	13.5	13.0	0.49
Jamal Crawford	39	39	0.41	-0.91	1.33	0.06	12	-13	25	14.8	15.8	-0.96	13.7	13.0	0.74
Jeff Teague	47	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	4	-9	14.4	16.3	-1.90	14.0	12.5	1.56
Gorgui Dieng	35	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	5	-11	14.8	15.8	-1.01	11.4	14.2	-2.81
Jimmy Butler	84	85	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.42	6	-7	13	15.5	14.8	0.74	13.7	11.0	2.66
Karl-Anthony Towns	65	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.48	5	-6	11	15.8	14.8	1.01	14.2	11.4	2.81
Tyus Jones	53	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.48	4	-5	9	16.3	14.4	1.90	12.5	14.0	-1.56
Taj Gibson	56	59	-1.08	0.58	-1.66	-0.58	-17	16	-33	15.2	15.7	-0.41	13.0	13.5	-0.49
Andrew Wiggins	77	78	-1.17	0.67	-1.85	-0.59	-20	19	-39	15.6	14.9	0.73	12.6	15.6	-3.01

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Holiday	75	74	1.11	-0.61	1.71	0.58	18	-17	35	12.8	14.4	-1.60	15.6	14.9	0.74
Lauri Markkanen	73	72	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.56	14	-13	27	13.7	12.0	1.76	15.9	14.1	1.84
Zach LaVine	71	68	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.56	7	-6	13	13.3	13.1	0.24	15.4	15.6	-0.19
Jerian Grant	77	77	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.31	15	-14	29	13.7	11.8	1.84	15.9	14.0	1.86
Robin Lopez	58	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	-15	31	13.4	13.0	0.41	14.8	16.3	-1.52
Bobby Portis	48	47	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.46	-10	11	-21	12.8	13.7	-0.89	16.2	14.7	1.48
Denzel Valentine	36	37	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.06	-8	9	-17	12.9	13.4	-0.59	15.2	15.5	-0.30
Ryan Arcidiacono	19	19	-0.42	0.92	-1.35	-0.07	-12	13	-25	13.4	13.2	0.16	13.7	15.8	-2.16
David Nwaba	26	26	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	0.13	-20	21	-41	12.9	13.4	-0.48	14.9	15.6	-0.74
Paul Zipser	22	22	-0.52	1.02	-1.53	-0.08	-15	16	-31	12.7	13.4	-0.65	14.3	15.8	-1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.24,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.43,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.33,0.15,0.16,0.09,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 108, MIA 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.45,0.1,0.16,1	90.0%
BKN 115, NOP 117	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.02,1	89.8%
DET 98, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.43,0.34,0.43,0.32,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.05,0.11,0.09,1	89.8%