NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	90		Excitement	8.6 [158]		MVP	Travis Best (IND): +18.1%
Indiana Pacers	92		Comeback	10.4 [416]		LVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): -30.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Bradley	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	11	65%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yinka Dare	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	12	50%	0.10	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ed O'Bannon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	16	47%	0.07	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.25	-0.08	-0.17	0.00	8	50%	-0.07	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.09,-0.31	0.05	-0.35	0.00	22	60%	-0.23	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.18	0.18	-0.06	0.23	-0.00	7	50%	0.30	3	-0.11	2	0%	-0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.06	0.03	10	77%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	12	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	9	38%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23	-0.23	-0.03	-0.20	0.00	16	60%	0.05	4	-0.29	15	93%	0.08
Rik Smits	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	19	37%	-0.20	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	28.6	16.6	24.0	2.4	34.5	130.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +2.2%

IND +13.0%

IND +41.9%

IND +1.8%

NJN -8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	IND	NBA	NJN	IND	NBA
this game	16.3	16.2	15.6	98.9	107.0	104.4
season	15.4	15.3		101.7	103.6
opponent	16.3	14.9		101.9	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.3	15.2	20.2	15.2	16.3
IND	16.0	16.1	15.8	16.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier McDaniel	45	42	0.44	-0.94	1.38	0.12	11	-13	24	15.8	16.8	-0.98	16.7	15.7	1.06
Ed O'Bannon	11	10	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.10	3	-5	8	14.0	16.7	-2.66	19.3	15.8	3.51
Tony Massenburg	24	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	0	-2	17.0	16.1	0.90	14.8	16.7	-1.85
Yinka Dare	3	3	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	4	-10	15.7	16.4	-0.70	11.3	16.4	-5.04
Shawn Bradley	58	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.70	8	-10	18	16.0	16.9	-0.89	17.4	14.1	3.35
Khalid Reeves	78	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.42	-5	3	-8	16.7	14.3	2.37	16.4	14.8	1.58
Kerry Kittles	85	80	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.37	-9	7	-16	16.7	11.5	5.18	15.8	22.0	-6.24
Kendall Gill	85	79	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.38	-9	7	-16	16.2	17.8	-1.60	15.7	21.6	-5.85
Jayson Williams	66	64	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.65	-1	-1	0	16.4	16.1	0.36	15.9	17.0	-1.08

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick McKey	63	67	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.42	19	-17	36	15.7	17.7	-1.99	17.2	14.0	3.24
Travis Best	76	80	0.98	-0.48	1.45	0.36	21	-19	40	15.6	21.0	-5.43	16.4	15.8	0.59
Reggie Miller	76	82	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.30	16	-14	30	15.5	21.4	-5.89	16.7	13.1	3.58
Dale Davis	69	71	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.29	14	-12	26	15.7	18.2	-2.47	16.7	15.2	1.46
Antonio Davis	47	53	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	5	-8	15.3	17.2	-1.89	15.8	17.2	-1.40
Rik Smits	56	58	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.20	-7	9	-16	17.5	13.7	3.78	16.5	16.1	0.39
Fred Hoiberg	5	5	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.14	-14	16	-30	22.6	15.8	6.80	11.8	16.6	-4.80
Eddie Johnson	19	20	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	0.01	-15	17	-32	18.7	15.5	3.19	14.7	16.8	-2.04
Jerome Allen	19	19	-0.52	1.02	-1.55	0.09	-21	23	-44	19.1	15.4	3.66	14.4	16.9	-2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.24,0.32,0.53,0.4,0.46,0.25,0.45,0.15,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 98, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.26,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.52,0.52,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.42,1	90.9%
SAC 108, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.11,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.36,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.46,0.15,0.26,1	90.0%
SAS 104, ORL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.05,1	89.8%