NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	108		Excitement	9.0 [119]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +89.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	109		Comeback	38.1 [49]		LVP	Jason Thompson (SAC): -13.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0.41	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.41,0.41	0.14	0.28	0.02	13	77%	0.45	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Spencer Hawes	0.38	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.19,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.15	0.23	0.00	20	71%	0.49	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0.27	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.27	0.12	0.18	0.02	13	68%	0.31	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ime Udoka	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	7	72%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.06
Donte Greene	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	7	56%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.06

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.05,0.05,0.9	0.90	0.14	0.78	0.02	27	60%	0.99	3	-0.10	11	73%	-0.09
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.10	0.01	11	74%	0.26	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.15	0.03	12	61%	0.22	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.03
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	62%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.07
Josh Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	10	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.7	30.2	16.5	27.5	2.5	41.6	143.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -20.0%

LAL +38.6%

LAL +12.8%

LAL +13.0%

LAL +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	15.3	112.5	113.5	106.0
season	15.2	15.7		103.7	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		103.0	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.4	13.9	15.2	16.9	14.7
LAL	13.8	16.1	14.2	17.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	22	23	0.47	-0.97	1.43	0.41	2	-3	5	13.5	15.1	-1.55	14.5	15.5	-0.97
Spencer Hawes	80	79	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.33	-3	2	-5	15.2	12.2	3.06	15.4	14.7	0.67
Jon Brockman	8	8	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.08	8	-9	17	15.2	14.7	0.56	19.4	14.9	4.49
Jason Thompson	50	52	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.25	-4	3	-7	14.0	15.5	-1.50	15.1	15.4	-0.27
Donte Greene	58	61	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-1	1	14.8	14.6	0.22	15.2	15.3	-0.04
Ime Udoka	54	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.46	8	-9	17	14.9	14.5	0.43	15.8	14.6	1.19
Beno Udrih	67	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	2	-5	14.2	16.0	-1.81	14.9	16.1	-1.25
Omri Casspi	86	84	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.48	-3	2	-5	14.2	19.6	-5.43	14.5	20.6	-6.08
Sergio Rodriguez	34	33	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.89	0	-1	1	15.9	14.1	1.81	16.6	14.6	2.05
Kenny Thomas	21	19	-1.21	0.71	-1.91	-0.91	-10	9	-19	17.0	14.1	2.89	15.2	15.3	-0.13

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Farmar	35	35	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.75	0	1	-1	17.1	14.2	2.83	15.7	14.2	1.49
Sasha Vujacic	22	24	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.81	-2	3	-5	13.9	15.7	-1.75	13.8	15.0	-1.21
Pau Gasol	81	82	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.46	7	-6	13	14.9	17.3	-2.46	14.7	14.8	-0.05
Lamar Odom	76	75	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.36	6	-5	11	14.3	19.0	-4.72	14.0	17.2	-3.20
Kobe Bryant	94	95	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.44	1	0	1	15.2	16.5	-1.27	14.7	15.0	-0.26
Adam Morrison	12	11	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	0	1	13.3	15.5	-2.20	15.5	14.6	0.81
Derek Fisher	51	50	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	-6	13	14.3	16.4	-2.06	13.9	15.6	-1.71
Josh Powell	8	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	6	-11	18.5	15.0	3.53	14.1	14.8	-0.67
Andrew Bynum	66	65	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.18	-2	3	-5	16.0	13.7	2.27	15.2	13.7	1.52
Shannon Brown	35	35	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.14	-8	9	-17	17.4	14.0	3.37	16.1	14.0	2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.11,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.36,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.46,0.15,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 90, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.31,0.42,1	91.2%
NJN 90, IND 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.24,0.32,0.53,0.4,0.46,0.25,0.45,0.15,0.16,1	90.0%
MEM 98, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.26,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.52,0.52,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.42,1	89.7%