NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	7.7 [291]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +38.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	7.1 [359]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -21.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.39	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.47,0.39,0.39	0.18	0.19	-0.02	13	83%	0.40	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.04
Al Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	11	62%	0.11	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Jamison Brewer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	17	46%	-0.07	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Jalen Rose	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14	-0.04	-0.12	-0.02	19	42%	-0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.31,-0.31,-0.38,-0.38,-0.31,-0.31,-0.15,-0.22	-0.22	-0.01	-0.01	13	38%	0.15	9	-0.37	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.16	0.01	8	72%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.2,0.2	0.20	-0.01	0.19	-0.01	12	63%	0.29	3	-0.09	11	73%	0.03
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	53%	0.05	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.03	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.08
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	25	49%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	4	36%	-0.08	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	30.2	14.8	23.8	1.8	35.0	130.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -13.1%

POR +35.6%

POR +0.6%

POR +21.3%

POR +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	POR	NBA	IND	POR	NBA
this game	14.9	15.0	15.6	92.8	100.0	102.3
season	15.3	16.0		101.6	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.2	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.4	15.0	16.0	16.2	14.9
POR	15.3	13.8	18.2	13.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Bender	19	17	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.05	3	-9	12	11.5	15.7	-4.14	12.3	15.6	-3.28
Jeff Foster	34	34	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-9	12	13.9	15.3	-1.41	15.9	14.5	1.47
Primoz Brezec	28	29	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.14	-4	-2	-2	17.9	13.6	4.22	14.4	15.2	-0.78
Austin Croshere	9	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-3	0	18.9	14.4	4.45	13.8	15.1	-1.33
Jermaine O'Neal	76	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.50	4	-10	14	13.8	18.7	-4.92	15.7	12.4	3.27
Reggie Miller	86	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.27	-6	0	-6	14.7	16.2	-1.50	15.2	13.4	1.80
Jalen Rose	92	90	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.38	-3	-3	0	14.6	18.8	-4.16	15.1	12.8	2.30
Jamaal Tinsley	75	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.29	-8	2	-10	15.6	12.3	3.34	15.7	12.1	3.60
Al Harrington	66	63	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.45	-15	9	-24	15.3	13.8	1.54	13.4	17.9	-4.49

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	76	76	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-9	24	14.8	15.7	-0.90	15.6	12.0	3.64
Steve Kerr	53	56	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-6	18	13.5	16.8	-3.26	15.9	13.4	2.58
Rasheed Wallace	92	93	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	3	0	15.0	15.0	-0.01	14.5	22.5	-7.97
Damon Stoudamire	60	61	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	1	4	14.6	15.6	-0.95	14.7	15.2	-0.54
Dale Davis	47	47	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.43	-2	8	-10	16.0	14.0	2.06	13.5	16.2	-2.69
Zach Randolph	31	32	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.07	11	-5	16	14.0	15.5	-1.51	18.0	13.3	4.65
Rick Brunson	36	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	5	-4	15.6	14.6	0.95	15.2	14.7	0.54
Shawn Kemp	12	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	7	-8	14.7	15.0	-0.37	17.7	14.5	3.24
Derek Anderson	44	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	9	-12	16.4	13.8	2.62	13.0	16.3	-3.25
Bonzi Wells	29	30	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.11	-11	17	-28	15.5	14.8	0.76	12.2	16.0	-3.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.31,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 96, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.42,1	91.8%
SAC 108, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.11,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.36,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.46,0.15,0.26,1	91.2%
MIA 78, CHA 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.34,0.44,0.33,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.57,0.72,1	90.7%