NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	96		Excitement	10.0 [65]		MVP	Michael Doleac (NYK): +22.8%
New York Knicks	98		Comeback	22.9 [26]		LVP	Metta World Peace (IND): -46.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.14	0.03	0.10	-0.02	11	61%	0.14	0	0.00	11	55%	-0.00
Jeff Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Ron Mercer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	57%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.08
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.13	-0.01	-0.12	0.00	16	63%	0.04	5	-0.18	6	100%	0.09
Reggie Miller	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.19	0.01	-0.22	-0.02	11	50%	-0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.4	-0.07	-0.32	0.01	7	71%	0.02	7	-0.42	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.47	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.47	-0.16	-0.31	-0.01	11	30%	-0.43	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.11

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.02	0.20	0.00	9	60%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.06
Othella Harrington	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	73%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.05	12	71%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	23	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	86%	0.04
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	13	34%	-0.06	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.03	0.01	7	31%	-0.09	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.3	-0.30	-0.02	-0.27	0.00	8	47%	-0.21	1	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.3	29.5	16.3	22.6	2.3	40.5	134.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +22.6%

NYK +3.1%

IND -4.4%

NYK +24.8%

NYK +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	14.0	15.8	15.5	99.0	102.1	101.6
season	15.4	15.6		102.2	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.0	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	10.9	13.4	17.4	15.2	14.0
NYK	15.7	17.3	16.9	13.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	12	12	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.04	6	-8	14	14.7	13.9	0.74	18.2	15.5	2.76
Erick Strickland	14	13	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-5	8	15.6	13.8	1.81	17.4	15.6	1.79
Austin Croshere	22	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-1	0	15.8	13.5	2.27	16.5	15.7	0.82
Reggie Miller	66	65	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.54	15	-17	32	13.1	15.9	-2.81	16.0	15.4	0.61
Ron Mercer	38	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	3	-8	15.5	13.1	2.39	17.0	15.0	1.96
Al Harrington	36	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	7	-16	16.0	12.8	3.19	16.3	15.6	0.76
Brad Miller	72	72	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.39	5	-7	12	13.1	16.6	-3.47	15.7	16.1	-0.33
Jamaal Tinsley	77	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-1	0	13.5	16.0	-2.56	15.8	16.1	-0.34
Jermaine O'Neal	75	74	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.47	-10	8	-18	14.0	14.1	-0.15	15.2	18.1	-2.93
Metta World Peace	73	72	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.40	-13	11	-24	13.6	15.2	-1.58	14.8	19.0	-4.28

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	43	43	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.56	5	-3	8	15.3	16.2	-0.92	14.8	13.4	1.38
Clar. Weatherspoon	44	46	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.58	3	-1	4	15.1	16.4	-1.29	14.5	13.5	0.99
Latrell Sprewell	85	86	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	-5	12	15.8	16.4	-0.60	14.0	14.0	0.02
Charlie Ward	39	40	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.54	-2	4	-6	15.9	15.8	0.06	13.9	14.1	-0.25
Kurt Thomas	43	44	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.29	1	1	0	14.9	16.6	-1.64	12.7	15.1	-2.37
Michael Doleac	62	61	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.07	3	-1	4	16.5	14.6	1.97	15.0	12.4	2.51
Howard Eisley	57	57	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.10	4	-2	6	15.8	15.9	-0.06	14.1	13.9	0.25
Othella Harrington	43	43	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.07	-3	5	-8	16.4	15.3	1.10	13.5	14.5	-1.00
Allan Houston	64	65	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.09	-8	10	-18	16.3	15.0	1.30	13.5	15.1	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 90, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.31,0.42,1	91.8%
LAC 102, MEM 104	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.42,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.83,1	90.7%
BOS 86, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.37,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.58,1	90.5%