NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	102		Excitement	7.6 [277]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +14.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	104		Comeback	13.1 [153]		LVP	Rasual Butler (LAC): -26.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Skinner	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.07	0.00	0	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
DeAndre Jordan	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.08,0.08	0.15	-0.05	0.02	11	74%	0.10	1	-0.02	9	56%	-0.17
Baron Davis	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.09,0,0,0.06	0.08	-0.04	-0.02	21	59%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Al Thornton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	8	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	6	67%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.07	-0.01	17	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	60%	0.01
Rasual Butler	-0.27	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.27	-0.04	-0.23	0.01	7	33%	-0.25	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15	0.15	-0.02	0.14	-0.02	18	47%	0.19	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	16	60%	0.21	2	-0.09	8	75%	-0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.11,0.07	0.07	0.13	-0.04	0.03	14	71%	0.10	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	11	57%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Lester Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	12	50%	0.02	3	-0.13	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	29.2	15.7	64.2	1.4	32.2	171.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +21.1%

MEM +13.3%

MEM +30.4%

LAC -17.8%

MEM +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	15.3	16.6	15.3	112.1	115.6	106.0
season	15.5	15.4		101.9	106.8
opponent	15.0	15.2		108.4	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.6	14.4	17.6	17.1	15.3
MEM	14.6	17.6	16.7	18.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	25	26	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.11	11	-13	24	12.6	16.3	-3.62	15.1	17.2	-2.04
Ricky Davis	23	24	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.14	-4	2	-6	18.4	14.2	4.24	14.6	17.3	-2.65
Craig Smith	25	24	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.06	-1	-1	0	14.8	15.4	-0.64	15.1	17.1	-2.02
Mardy Collins	4	4	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.07	-5	3	-8	23.5	14.9	8.61	9.0	16.9	-7.92
Al Thornton	54	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	4	-10	16.5	13.5	2.99	17.6	15.1	2.48
Brian Skinner	17	15	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-2	2	16.9	14.9	1.99	20.2	15.8	4.36
Baron Davis	87	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.51	3	-5	8	14.9	23.5	-8.61	16.9	9.0	7.92
Eric Gordon	87	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.51	3	-5	8	14.9	23.5	-8.61	16.9	9.0	7.92
DeAndre Jordan	72	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	6	-14	14.9	16.5	-1.53	16.3	17.7	-1.37
Rasual Butler	61	60	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.55	-3	1	-4	14.7	16.4	-1.65	16.6	16.5	0.05

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
O.J. Mayo	80	82	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.40	9	-7	16	16.1	20.2	-4.09	15.7	11.7	3.99
Mike Conley	56	57	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.46	5	-3	8	18.1	14.0	4.13	15.1	15.6	-0.52
Marc Gasol	67	68	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.50	3	-1	4	17.6	13.4	4.21	15.6	14.3	1.28
Rudy Gay	80	80	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.47	2	0	2	17.0	13.2	3.79	14.7	19.4	-4.66
Zach Randolph	82	83	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	4	-6	16.9	13.6	3.23	14.9	18.6	-3.69
DeMarre Carroll	14	13	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	2	-2	14.6	16.9	-2.28	15.1	15.3	-0.22
Hasheem Thabeet	12	12	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.07	4	-2	6	10.5	17.5	-7.00	17.0	15.0	2.00
Jamaal Tinsley	34	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	5	-8	14.0	18.1	-4.13	15.6	15.1	0.52
Lester Hudson	5	5	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	7	-12	17.8	16.5	1.31	15.0	15.3	-0.28
Sam Young	20	21	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.07	-3	5	-8	16.6	16.6	0.04	15.3	15.3	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.42,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.78,0.85,1	92.1%
ATL 101, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.45,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.38,0.23,0.41,0.19,0.39,0.53,0.36,0.45,0.73,1	91.2%
PHI 88, ATL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.71,1	91.1%