NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	88		Excitement	7.4 [361]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +17.4%
Atlanta Hawks	95		Comeback	16.5 [115]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -33.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.01	15	73%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	4	40%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.09	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.06
Lou Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14	-0.05	-0.11	-0.02	14	50%	0.04	4	-0.18	6	83%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	18	30%	-0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.34	-0.07	-0.29	-0.01	13	57%	0.02	6	-0.36	2	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.18,-0.02,0.09,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.04	0.03	23	69%	0.30	2	-0.12	5	100%	0.05
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.10	-0.01	8	25%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.05	-0.03	16	44%	0.07	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.04	0.04	16	56%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.7	28.0	15.8	28.0	2.7	34.0	137.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +29.4%

PHI -12.8%

PHI -10.5%

ATL +43.0%

ATL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.5	97.8	105.6	106.4
season	15.5	15.8		105.3	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.9		106.0	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.3	15.8	16.8	17.6	16.0
ATL	15.7	14.2	15.9	18.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	32	31	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.04	6	-13	19	14.4	17.0	-2.59	17.6	15.1	2.53
Lou Williams	24	26	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-12	17	13.6	16.9	-3.36	16.3	15.8	0.50
Willie Green	30	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	2	-11	16.0	16.1	-0.12	15.9	16.0	-0.08
Thaddeus Young	69	67	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-5	3	16.1	15.7	0.43	16.0	15.8	0.17
Andre Iguodala	81	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-4	1	16.0	16.6	-0.57	15.9	16.1	-0.20
Elton Brand	83	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	3	-13	16.4	12.3	4.08	16.1	14.6	1.50
Andre Miller	67	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.15	-14	7	-21	16.8	14.0	2.80	15.6	16.9	-1.34
Samuel Dalembert	64	65	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.42	-8	1	-9	16.6	14.6	2.06	15.2	17.8	-2.55

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	65	66	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.27	16	-9	25	15.4	17.5	-2.11	17.0	13.5	3.53
Ronald Murray	33	34	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.45	8	-1	9	17.3	15.2	2.18	15.4	16.5	-1.11
Josh Smith	78	77	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-2	11	16.0	15.6	0.43	15.6	18.8	-3.27
Joe Johnson	76	77	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-4	15	15.5	18.4	-2.84	16.7	12.1	4.64
Al Horford	64	65	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	2	3	15.0	18.2	-3.15	16.9	13.9	3.00
Marvin Williams	39	38	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	4	-1	15.1	16.6	-1.51	16.2	15.9	0.29
Zaza Pachulia	38	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	7	-7	17.4	14.9	2.45	15.6	16.4	-0.81
Acie Law	25	24	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.03	-9	16	-25	17.5	15.4	2.11	13.5	17.0	-3.53
Maurice Evans	32	31	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.08	-8	15	-23	16.6	15.6	1.04	14.9	16.6	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.71,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 102, MEM 104	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.42,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.83,1	91.1%
DAL 104, ATL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.41,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.14,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.53,0.38,0.57,0.68,0.91,1	91.0%
BOS 98, MEM 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.19,0.33,0.47,0.63,0.32,0.42,1	91.0%