inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 78 Excitement7.4 [324] MVPJermaine O'Neal (MIA): +19.0%
Charlotte Bobcats 83 Comeback7.2 [238] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -34.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal0.190,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.190.110.080.001168%0.1900.00683%0.00
Michael Beasley0.050,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.02-0.00855%0.0500.00475%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.01-0.02450%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
James Jones-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.070.00-0.08-0.01944%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.01425%0.011-0.0800%0.00
Dorell Wright-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0140%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Quentin Richardson-0.160,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16-0.01-0.120.02839%-0.1600.00250%-0.02
Dwyane Wade-0.340,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.34-0.04-0.300.002648%-0.134-0.224100%0.04

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.040.08-0.02562%0.171-0.04683%0.04
Raymond Felton0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.020.02-0.010.040.011254%0.123-0.10475%-0.01
Theo Ratliff0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.023100%0.062-0.042100%0.01
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00283%0.062-0.06250%-0.01
Tyrus Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.030.00733%-0.011-0.02450%-0.03
Gerald Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Stephen Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.030.01250%-0.011-0.04250%-0.01
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.040.011132%-0.0900.00367%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.050.021144%0.022-0.133100%0.01
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.04-0.180.001745%-0.172-0.05475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.82.425.615.624.22.833.5130.0
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +20.7%
CHA +10.5%
CHA +32.0%
MIA -15.4%
CHA +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHANBAMIACHANBA
this game15.715.915.384.892.2106.0
season16.216.2104.4103.0
opponent15.415.4101.8102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.215.315.415.915.7
CHA17.315.315.915.415.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Jones20190.24-0.740.980.095-101517.515.22.3617.515.52.01
Mario Chalmers32310.10-0.600.700.13-1-4316.415.31.0217.115.41.71
Jamaal Magloire1414-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-5517.515.42.1217.015.71.25
Dorell Wright3533-0.06-0.440.370.08-50-515.715.70.0616.115.80.28
Joel Anthony34-0.07-0.430.360.10-61-77.716.0-8.3115.016.0-0.99
Jermaine O'Neal6564-0.09-0.410.32-0.3810-152515.616.0-0.3616.315.01.27
Michael Beasley5251-0.26-0.24-0.030.00-94-1315.715.7-0.0815.516.6-1.09
Quentin Richardson5959-0.510.01-0.52-0.42-3-2-115.216.6-1.4515.516.8-1.36
Udonis Haslem5047-0.520.02-0.53-0.37-50-515.915.50.3415.716.2-0.46
Carlos Arroyo5958-0.540.04-0.58-0.48-2-3115.615.9-0.3615.616.5-0.91
Dwyane Wade7170-0.730.23-0.96-0.46-94-1315.416.7-1.3115.617.1-1.55

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Boris Diaw66670.74-0.240.990.4510-51515.118.2-3.0315.416.5-1.06
Stephen Jackson76760.69-0.190.880.458-31115.518.5-3.0315.317.6-2.32
Raymond Felton66660.60-0.100.700.349-41315.816.3-0.4715.615.9-0.25
Tyrus Thomas50520.54-0.040.580.337-2915.816.1-0.3215.216.3-1.09
Gerald Wallace83850.490.010.470.4032116.113.72.4215.518.6-3.10
Gerald Henderson78-0.070.57-0.64-0.01-27-916.415.90.5216.015.70.32
D.J. Augustin2426-0.100.60-0.700.02-49-1316.315.80.4715.915.60.25
Stephen Graham1415-0.100.60-0.71-0.1314-317.115.71.4218.915.13.86
Tyson Chandler3030-0.120.62-0.73-0.03-38-1117.615.12.5316.615.31.28
Theo Ratliff3435-0.170.67-0.84-0.05-49-1316.215.80.4716.215.40.84


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.34,0.44,0.33,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.57,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 99, IND 1030.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.15,0.26,0.46,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.45,0.84,191.9%
NOP 105, UTA 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.36,0.31,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.35,0.22,0.31,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.41,0.53,0.38,0.61,0.69,0.73,191.7%
PHI 88, ATL 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.71,190.9%