NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Excitement	8.1 [228]		MVP	CJ Miles (IND): +54.0%
Indiana Pacers	103		Comeback	8.1 [66]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -13.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Iman Shumpert	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.23,0.15	0.02	0.13	0.00	3	100%	0.26	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.03	14	61%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.04	0.07	-0.03	-0.00	26	56%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	0.00	5	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	59%	0.07	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	8	31%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	21	50%	0.13	7	-0.27	8	62%	-0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.11,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.52,0.54	0.54	0.13	0.40	-0.01	16	65%	0.56	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.04
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.21,0.17,0.2	0.20	0.04	0.20	0.04	8	65%	0.34	4	-0.14	15	80%	0.04
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	0.00	8	65%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.02	15	62%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shayne Whittington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	7	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	12	42%	0.02	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	29.4	16.5	25.4	2.5	44.3	142.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.2%

IND +22.2%

CLE -30.6%

IND +23.8%

IND +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	15.9	15.2	15.1	108.8	109.6	104.2
season	15.9	16.0		108.7	102.3
opponent	15.0	14.9		102.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.4	16.5	16.7	14.2	15.9
IND	15.0	16.2	14.7	15.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	9	9	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.00	4	-8	12	17.2	15.8	1.47	17.3	15.0	2.31
Kevin Love	61	64	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-6	8	16.6	14.6	1.99	16.2	13.3	2.91
Matthew Dellavedova	26	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-2	0	16.7	15.6	1.05	15.9	14.9	0.96
Iman Shumpert	39	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	0	-4	15.2	16.4	-1.26	13.4	16.7	-3.29
J.R. Smith	64	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.30	-1	-3	2	15.2	17.4	-2.19	14.7	16.4	-1.70
Timofey Mozgov	63	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.42	3	-7	10	15.0	17.9	-2.88	14.7	16.5	-1.79
Tristan Thompson	44	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	10	-24	17.3	14.6	2.70	15.2	15.3	-0.08
Kyrie Irving	78	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	1	-6	15.8	16.8	-1.01	15.2	15.3	-0.06
LeBron James	71	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.41	-3	-1	-2	16.0	15.7	0.26	15.9	12.7	3.17

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	66	63	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.45	10	-6	16	14.7	16.5	-1.84	15.6	16.6	-0.97
Solomon Hill	73	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	4	-4	15.0	16.1	-1.10	15.3	18.0	-2.73
Roy Hibbert	78	73	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.45	-2	6	-8	15.3	15.1	0.14	15.9	15.8	0.15
David West	59	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	3	-2	14.4	16.7	-2.30	14.8	17.8	-3.00
Luis Scola	40	38	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	-5	14	16.1	14.6	1.49	17.6	14.7	2.97
CJ Watson	40	38	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	-5	14	16.1	14.6	1.49	17.6	14.7	2.97
George Hill	54	53	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.34	-5	9	-14	14.6	16.1	-1.49	14.7	17.6	-2.97
Shayne Whittington	10	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	4	-4	16.7	15.1	1.63	16.5	15.8	0.73
Damjan Rudez	13	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	5	-6	17.5	14.9	2.66	18.2	15.5	2.72
Rodney Stuckey	37	37	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.10	-1	5	-6	15.9	14.8	1.07	16.4	15.5	0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.15,0.26,0.46,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.45,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 78, CHA 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.34,0.44,0.33,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.57,0.72,1	91.9%
MEM 87, CHA 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.17,0.4,0.6,0.76,0.46,0.55,0.85,1	91.1%
WAS 97, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.54,0.69,0.72,1	91.0%