NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	87		Excitement	9.2 [96]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +49.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	89		Comeback	7.4 [229]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): -26.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hasheem Thabeet	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Young	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	80%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.24,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	22	54%	0.19	3	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarre Carroll	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	17	44%	0.02	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.10
Marc Gasol	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	0.06	-0.00	11	27%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Rudy Gay	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.01	0.01	17	39%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	8	41%	-0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.49	0.49	0.05	0.45	0.00	15	55%	0.51	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.16,0.27,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	8	70%	0.23	4	-0.17	4	100%	0.04
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	11	32%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.08	0.03	12	63%	0.03	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.04
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.32,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	20	33%	-0.10	6	-0.17	6	50%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	30.8	15.5	26.3	2.5	34.9	136.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +36.6%

CHA +7.1%

MEM -4.8%

CHA +5.5%

CHA +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHA	NBA	MEM	CHA	NBA
this game	14.6	14.8	15.3	89.7	89.9	106.0
season	15.4	16.2		106.8	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.0		101.8	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.9	13.3	15.5	15.8	14.6
CHA	16.1	13.9	14.5	14.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	81	81	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.24	7	-9	16	14.9	13.2	1.65	15.0	13.8	1.20
Jamaal Tinsley	42	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-4	6	13.9	15.2	-1.36	14.3	15.1	-0.72
Hasheem Thabeet	28	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.11	-7	5	-12	16.5	13.9	2.63	15.3	14.5	0.83
Sam Young	26	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	5	-12	15.2	14.4	0.77	15.5	14.5	0.97
DeMarre Carroll	16	15	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-2	2	11.7	15.2	-3.52	16.3	14.5	1.78
Zach Randolph	79	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-4	6	14.0	17.4	-3.39	14.3	17.0	-2.67
O.J. Mayo	76	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.48	1	-3	4	14.3	15.8	-1.51	14.5	15.6	-1.06
Marcus Williams	55	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	2	-6	15.2	13.9	1.36	15.1	14.3	0.72
Rudy Gay	82	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.43	-4	2	-6	15.0	12.5	2.56	14.5	16.3	-1.78

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	81	79	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.38	14	-12	26	14.4	16.4	-2.06	14.7	14.2	0.50
Stephen Jackson	89	90	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-9	20	15.0	12.7	2.29	14.8	12.1	2.68
Gerald Wallace	89	87	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.42	8	-6	14	14.5	16.9	-2.38	14.9	12.4	2.49
Raymond Felton	67	63	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.39	4	-2	6	14.2	15.9	-1.74	14.6	14.6	0.02
Ronald Murray	44	42	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.58	-7	9	-16	14.8	14.7	0.03	14.0	15.1	-1.07
Nazr Mohammed	49	49	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	0	2	15.6	13.9	1.73	14.0	15.3	-1.35
D.J. Augustin	33	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	6	-10	15.5	14.4	1.05	14.5	14.7	-0.27
DeSagana Diop	25	22	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.01	-6	8	-14	13.6	15.1	-1.50	15.7	14.3	1.42
Derrick Brown	19	19	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.10	-14	16	-30	15.6	14.6	1.02	13.9	14.8	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.17,0.4,0.6,0.76,0.46,0.55,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 99, IND 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.15,0.26,0.46,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.45,0.84,1	91.1%
TOR 81, NOH 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.73,1	90.7%
PHI 84, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.34,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.46,0.61,0.8,0.54,0.43,0.58,1	90.5%