NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	107		Excitement	8.3 [214]		MVP	Johnny Newman (NJN): +15.2%
Detroit Pistons	109		Comeback	2.9 [630]		LVP	Jim McIlvaine (NJN): -9.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	7	82%	0.20	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Scott Burrell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.05	0.07	-0.03	-0.01	23	67%	0.27	6	-0.22	6	83%	0.03
Lucious Harris	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.04	-0.06	6	43%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jamie Feick	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Gheorghe Muresan	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	43%	-0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.08	0.01	18	60%	-0.01	2	-0.06	14	86%	0.02
Jim McIlvaine	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	12	71%	0.20	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.05
Terry Mills	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	19	60%	0.10	4	-0.10	15	80%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.04	0.01	13	50%	0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	77%	0.13	3	-0.14	1	0%	-0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	17	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	-5.8	26.3	15.6	29.6	1.7	36.8	128.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +24.1%

NJN -13.7%

DET +29.3%

DET +2.5%

DET +7.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	16.0	14.0	15.2	111.5	113.5	101.7
season	15.5	14.1		102.1	104.2
opponent	15.3	14.7		103.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.1	17.9	15.9	14.0	16.0
DET	12.7	12.7	12.9	17.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gheorghe Muresan	18	18	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.05	8	-10	18	16.1	16.0	0.11	13.4	14.1	-0.73
Scott Burrell	38	36	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-6	10	16.6	15.7	0.88	12.2	15.0	-2.81
Jim McIlvaine	29	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	1	-4	14.7	16.6	-1.86	15.6	13.2	2.37
Elliot Perry	23	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-3	4	17.1	15.7	1.40	14.4	13.9	0.56
Lucious Harris	44	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	3	-8	16.1	15.9	0.21	13.3	14.5	-1.23
Johnny Newman	48	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.38	2	-4	6	15.1	16.9	-1.75	15.1	12.8	2.34
Kendall Gill	52	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	6	-14	16.6	15.3	1.26	13.8	14.2	-0.46
Stephon Marbury	84	85	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.50	0	-2	2	15.4	20.2	-4.74	14.3	11.5	2.75
Keith Van Horn	74	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.34	-6	4	-10	16.2	15.3	0.91	14.3	12.8	1.52
Jamie Feick	70	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	1	-4	16.5	14.8	1.72	13.2	16.0	-2.80

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	87	87	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	-1	4	14.2	11.9	2.31	15.7	19.0	-3.29
Jerry Stackhouse	70	72	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	0	2	13.3	15.8	-2.51	16.2	15.5	0.64
Christian Laettner	50	50	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.47	-3	5	-8	13.8	14.1	-0.29	15.7	16.3	-0.63
Jerome Williams	69	68	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.44	-2	4	-6	14.6	12.5	2.03	16.0	16.0	0.03
Grant Hill	85	84	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	3	-4	14.4	10.7	3.67	15.9	16.7	-0.83
Terry Mills	26	27	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	-5	12	14.7	13.7	0.93	15.7	16.1	-0.44
Jud Buechler	15	13	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	-4	10	17.3	13.4	3.98	14.2	16.3	-2.16
Don Reid	31	30	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.16	8	-6	14	12.7	14.6	-1.87	16.5	15.8	0.75
Michael Curry	20	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	3	-4	11.2	14.7	-3.45	17.1	15.7	1.39
Jermaine Jackson	11	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	5	-8	13.7	14.0	-0.28	17.2	15.9	1.31
Eric Montross	16	16	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	8	-14	13.3	14.1	-0.80	17.2	15.8	1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.77,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.93,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.61,0.55,0.85,0.84,1	93.1%
UTA 96, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.62,0.59,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.98,1	92.3%
GSW 103, PHX 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.37,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.75,0.61,0.62,0.89,0.89,0.99,1	92.2%