NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	7.5 [337]		MVP	Adam Morrison (CHA): +27.1%
Charlotte Bobcats	104		Comeback	3.0 [502]		LVP	Emeka Okafor (CHA): -15.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.1	0.11	0.05	0.05	17	62%	0.17	2	-0.07	8	100%	0.06
Paul Millsap	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	78%	0.10	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	70%	0.12	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	41%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	16	29%	-0.09	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.17	0.01	8	83%	0.32	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.07	0.02	13	64%	0.19	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.03
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	0.00	3	60%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sean May	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	13	55%	0.05	4	-0.11	14	86%	0.04
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	9	33%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.03	0.02	6	37%	-0.04	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	29.3	15.6	23.2	2.7	41.0	138.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +16.9%

CHA +11.2%

CHA +0.8%

CHA +23.1%

UTA -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHA	NBA	UTA	CHA	NBA
this game	15.8	16.6	15.5	106.7	118.2	106.4
season	15.3	16.5		107.7	103.0
opponent	15.6	15.0		104.5	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.4	16.7	14.0	14.7	15.8
CHA	19.5	16.8	16.7	14.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	51	51	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.14	6	-14	20	14.3	17.7	-3.33	16.2	17.1	-0.94
Carlos Boozer	63	63	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.22	5	-13	18	15.2	17.2	-2.06	16.8	16.0	0.88
Matt Harpring	24	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-8	8	17.5	15.2	2.35	19.3	15.7	3.64
Ronnie Price	48	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-3	-2	14.4	17.4	-2.96	15.7	17.6	-1.88
Kosta Koufos	55	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-3	-2	16.4	14.7	1.69	16.9	16.1	0.76
Kyle Korver	23	24	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	0	-8	17.7	15.1	2.52	18.1	16.0	2.11
Brevin Knight	48	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-2	-4	17.6	13.7	3.96	16.7	16.5	0.24
Ronnie Brewer	76	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	3	-14	15.3	18.1	-2.80	16.0	19.5	-3.46
Paul Millsap	62	61	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.18	-16	8	-24	15.8	15.7	0.14	16.1	17.8	-1.71

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	28	27	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.06	18	-10	28	15.4	17.1	-1.70	16.4	15.5	0.90
D.J. Augustin	44	47	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.16	14	-6	20	14.6	18.5	-3.91	16.2	15.3	0.82
Adam Morrison	45	45	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-1	10	16.0	17.2	-1.21	15.6	16.0	-0.36
Gerald Wallace	67	67	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.23	5	3	2	16.1	18.3	-2.23	15.4	16.9	-1.47
Jared Dudley	43	44	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.05	14	-6	20	15.5	17.7	-2.20	14.1	17.4	-3.34
Shannon Brown	24	26	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.07	8	0	8	17.7	16.2	1.59	16.8	15.3	1.50
Raymond Felton	70	71	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	6	-4	16.7	16.3	0.39	14.7	19.8	-5.15
Emeka Okafor	44	45	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.26	-10	18	-28	18.5	14.7	3.82	15.5	16.1	-0.58
Alexis Ajinca	12	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	11	-14	17.3	16.5	0.86	19.3	15.2	4.13
Sean May	30	31	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	16	-24	19.0	15.3	3.66	18.1	14.6	3.54
Matt Carroll	33	34	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	17	-26	17.5	16.0	1.48	16.3	15.5	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.62,0.59,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 90, DEN 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.71,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.8,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.8%
SAS 79, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	92.4%
NJN 107, DET 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.77,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.93,0.91,1	92.3%