NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	103		Excitement	8.2 [202]		MVP	Channing Frye (PHX): +17.7%
Phoenix Suns	112		Comeback	3.4 [816]		LVP	Andris Biedrins (GSW): -13.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	15	63%	0.18	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	23	51%	0.07	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Ronny Turiaf	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.01	3	37%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Devean George	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	61%	0.10	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Cartier Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	10	57%	0.11	3	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Chris Hunter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.04	-0.07	0.06	25	49%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.13	-0.00	5	80%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.03	0.02	6	80%	0.13	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.05	0.08	9	77%	0.21	3	-0.14	8	87%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	13	47%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	20	55%	0.20	6	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	12	56%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.8	30.2	16.6	25.1	2.8	34.3	137.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +21.3%

PHX +20.2%

GSW -0.0%

PHX +7.0%

PHX +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	15.1	13.5	15.3	103.0	110.9	106.0
season	13.4	14.4		106.5	113.5
opponent	15.5	14.8		109.0	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.8	15.5	14.7	15.5	15.1
PHX	13.4	13.8	13.0	13.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	18	15	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.02	3	-12	15	17.0	14.7	2.27	13.1	13.6	-0.46
Chris Hunter	17	18	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-11	13	14.4	15.3	-0.95	13.2	13.6	-0.37
Ronny Turiaf	41	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-9	9	14.8	15.4	-0.57	13.9	13.3	0.57
Cartier Martin	79	77	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-5	1	15.8	12.5	3.31	13.6	13.3	0.31
CJ Watson	51	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-3	-3	14.3	16.0	-1.65	13.3	13.7	-0.43
Stephen Curry	85	87	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	0	-9	14.5	18.7	-4.23	13.4	14.3	-0.88
Anthony Tolliver	81	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.21	-9	0	-9	15.0	15.6	-0.54	13.4	13.9	-0.42
Corey Maggette	79	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	1	-11	15.1	15.2	-0.12	13.5	13.4	0.10
Andris Biedrins	49	50	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.19	-12	3	-15	16.0	14.3	1.77	13.9	13.2	0.74

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	56	55	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.16	12	-3	15	13.4	13.6	-0.22	14.7	15.6	-0.88
Lou Amundson	33	32	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.34	6	3	3	13.3	13.6	-0.33	15.9	14.8	1.08
Steve Nash	66	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	1	7	13.9	12.8	1.07	14.9	15.6	-0.62
Channing Frye	35	34	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.19	4	5	-1	13.3	13.6	-0.32	15.8	14.8	0.95
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	73	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	4	1	13.8	12.8	1.03	14.8	16.2	-1.43
Robin Lopez	63	64	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	3	3	14.2	12.5	1.69	15.1	15.2	-0.09
Grant Hill	63	62	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	2	5	13.3	14.0	-0.72	14.6	15.9	-1.30
Earl Clark	24	21	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	9	-9	12.8	13.8	-0.96	15.8	15.0	0.85
Jared Dudley	37	35	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	10	-11	12.7	14.0	-1.25	15.6	14.9	0.71
Jason Richardson	56	56	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	11	-13	13.5	13.6	-0.06	15.5	14.7	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.37,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.75,0.61,0.62,0.89,0.89,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 102, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.94,1,1	93.2%
CLE 87, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.71,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.95,0.91,1	92.5%
IND 86, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.95,0.99,1	92.4%