NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	87		Excitement	8.0 [282]		MVP	Ira Newble (CLE): +20.1%
Detroit Pistons	90		Comeback	5.7 [451]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -42.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ira Newble	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2	0.09	0.10	-0.01	12	70%	0.24	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	15	40%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.10
Drew Gooden	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	8	29%	-0.09	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.43	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.31,-0.29,-0.25,-0.43	-0.08	-0.30	0.05	35	44%	-0.39	1	-0.04	14	79%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.12	0.01	10	65%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	-0.00	7	100%	0.25	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	14	59%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	3	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	13	37%	-0.15	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.11
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	14	32%	-0.17	1	-0.03	6	17%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	3.5	37.3	16.0	27.2	3.6	37.0	151.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +60.7%

DET +2.0%

DET +8.7%

CLE -12.6%

CLE -8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	17.4	16.6	15.5	102.4	107.1	104.0
season	16.2	16.7		104.6	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.3		98.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.6	15.0	20.6	17.0	17.4
DET	17.6	16.3	15.4	17.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	42	40	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.11	6	-9	15	16.6	18.3	-1.66	16.7	16.6	0.06
Anderson Varejao	33	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-6	9	15.7	18.5	-2.79	17.7	16.0	1.74
Eric Snow	34	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-3	3	16.7	17.9	-1.22	17.0	16.4	0.58
Drew Gooden	24	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	6	-15	19.8	16.5	3.28	17.0	16.5	0.51
Ira Newble	65	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-1	-1	17.6	16.7	0.90	15.5	20.2	-4.73
Sasha Pavlovic	26	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-3	3	15.8	18.2	-2.40	18.9	15.6	3.30
Jeff McInnis	51	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	0	-3	17.9	16.7	1.22	16.4	17.0	-0.58
LeBron James	80	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	1	-5	17.8	12.0	5.78	16.6	17.4	-0.81
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	70	70	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.42	-6	3	-9	18.0	14.9	3.04	16.2	18.6	-2.40

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	59	62	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.30	11	-8	19	18.1	13.2	4.90	17.7	16.8	0.89
Ben Wallace	70	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-3	9	16.2	18.6	-2.40	18.0	14.9	3.04
Richard Hamilton	63	61	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-3	9	16.8	16.2	0.54	18.3	15.3	2.99
Chauncey Billups	50	50	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-10	23	15.4	18.5	-3.12	18.7	15.6	3.12
Tayshaun Prince	67	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	2	-1	16.3	18.1	-1.78	17.9	15.5	2.46
Lindsey Hunter	26	25	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	2	-1	13.8	17.9	-4.05	17.7	17.3	0.40
Ronald Dupree	9	10	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	1	1	21.0	16.1	4.88	15.5	17.7	-2.19
Rasheed Wallace	9	9	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	0	3	14.8	16.9	-2.09	18.1	17.4	0.76
Carlos Arroyo	23	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	8	-13	19.0	15.8	3.25	15.4	18.3	-2.88
Carlos Delfino	15	16	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.02	-9	12	-21	19.4	16.0	3.36	12.1	18.7	-6.62
Elden Campbell	29	29	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.03	-14	17	-31	15.8	17.1	-1.30	15.4	18.5	-3.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.71,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.95,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 103, PHX 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.37,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.75,0.61,0.62,0.89,0.89,0.99,1	92.5%
IND 91, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.98,1	92.4%
CHI 89, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.31,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.68,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.86,0.95,1,0.99,1	92.2%