inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 85 Excitement8.5 [183] MVPJerome Williams (DET): +21.7%
Toronto Raptors 89 Comeback11.2 [108] LVPGrant Hill (DET): -31.6%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerome Williams0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.220.170.04-0.011481%0.241-0.024100%0.02
Eric Montross-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Loy Vaught-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jermaine Jackson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Christian Laettner-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.02-0.001539%-0.011-0.021100%0.01
Jud Buechler-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.00642%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Michael Curry-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13-0.09-0.05-0.012449%-0.015-0.12580%-0.01
Terry Mills-0.220,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22-0.11-0.11-0.01410%-0.162-0.06250%-0.01
Lindsey Hunter-0.280,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.28-0.06-0.22-0.01736%-0.052-0.2200%0.00
Grant Hill-0.320,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32-0.20-0.12-0.001527%-0.135-0.1900%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charles Oakley0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.190.19-0.100.27-0.01557%0.305-0.12450%0.00
Alvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.00654%0.0200.001100%0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.020.001360%0.042-0.05967%-0.03
Muggsy Bogues0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04-0.04-0.050.010.00150%0.012-0.052100%0.03
Antonio Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.06-0.021467%0.115-0.16875%-0.03
Dell Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.00150%-0.011-0.042100%0.02
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.000.02744%-0.051-0.02450%-0.04
Doug Christie0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.020.011452%0.024-0.101100%0.01
John Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.040.0000%0.002-0.0800%0.00
Dee Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.030.0040%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.03-0.02517%-0.082-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.526.415.528.41.842.2144.1
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +54.3%
TOR +17.3%
TOR +1.1%
DET -12.8%
DET -10.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETTORNBADETTORNBA
this game14.814.315.285.989.9101.7
season14.115.5104.2101.8
opponent14.915.3102.1103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET13.313.615.716.914.8
TOR13.415.815.712.614.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jud Buechler19210.38-0.881.250.0810-142417.214.22.9213.314.6-1.28
Jermaine Jackson22240.28-0.781.070.203-71016.314.41.9513.214.6-1.43
Christian Laettner59610.21-0.710.92-0.038-122014.615.1-0.5115.512.33.21
Loy Vaught870.12-0.620.730.091-5616.114.71.4414.414.30.15
Eric Montross98-0.09-0.410.310.08-62-816.714.62.0612.114.5-2.36
Michael Curry1717-0.20-0.300.10-0.03-62-815.914.61.3115.414.11.35
Jerome Williams6363-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.341-5615.014.50.5113.515.7-2.20
Grant Hill8586-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.521-5614.715.6-0.9014.512.61.93
Terry Mills5049-0.660.16-0.81-0.39-95-1414.215.4-1.1313.615.0-1.35
Lindsey Hunter7774-0.790.29-1.08-0.58-73-1014.416.3-1.9514.613.41.19
Jerry Stackhouse8685-0.940.44-1.37-0.47-1612-2814.218.8-4.5714.413.60.76

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charles Oakley58600.94-0.441.380.5613-92213.515.4-1.9114.115.9-1.77
Doug Christie84830.76-0.261.010.4012-82014.513.21.2914.317.2-2.85
Vince Carter82830.60-0.100.700.4840414.314.4-0.0714.715.3-0.61
Antonio Davis93920.53-0.030.570.366-2814.215.8-1.6414.814.60.24
Muggsy Bogues45430.500.000.500.5004-413.914.6-0.7816.813.23.61
Alvin Williams27270.190.31-0.120.045-1614.514.20.2615.014.70.28
Tracy McGrady1720-0.080.58-0.65-0.02-26-814.514.30.2113.215.2-2.00
Dee Brown2323-0.140.64-0.770.01-59-1417.613.34.2612.315.6-3.30
John Thomas108-0.170.67-0.83-0.05-48-1214.014.3-0.3316.414.71.72
Kevin Willis2628-0.280.78-1.06-0.16-48-1213.914.4-0.5015.814.41.43
Dell Curry3028-0.350.85-1.21-0.21-59-1413.914.5-0.5616.314.22.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.59,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 104, CHI 1060.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.58,193.4%
GSW 91, DEN 940.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.73,191.1%
IND 96, MIA 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.58,191.1%