NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	5.7 [399]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +44.9%
Golden State Warriors	102		Comeback	332.3 [1]		LVP	Bimbo Coles (GSW): -17.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.45	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45	0.05	0.44	0.03	17	69%	0.52	5	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Robert Horry	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.01	8	81%	0.18	4	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
J.R. Reid	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.05	0.02	9	68%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Travis Knight	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.00	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.08	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	9	45%	-0.05	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Glen Rice	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1	-0.21	-0.01	-0.13	19	32%	-0.03	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.03
Tyronn Lue	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.12	-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	6	44%	-0.06	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.07

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	9	71%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.10	0.03	-0.09	6	57%	0.08	6	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	60%	0.01	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.06	-0.01	11	65%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.04
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.05	-0.03	4	64%	-0.03	2	-0.01	3	0%	-0.14
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	8	39%	-0.04	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.11	-0.05	25	40%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18	-0.18	-0.16	-0.11	-0.09	15	35%	-0.15	4	-0.03	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	31.3	16.8	27.6	2.5	45.5	2.4	21.2	176.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	1.7	18.8	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +74.8%

GSW -3.5%

LAL +0.8%

GSW -16.7%

GSW -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	13.2	16.4	15.8	97.2	96.2	99.6
season	14.9	15.9		104.7	95.1
opponent	15.5	15.8		98.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	14.7	14.1	12.8	13.5	9.8	13.2
GSW	13.0	20.1	17.2	18.6	11.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyronn Lue	65	64	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.47	9	-5	14	12.5	14.3	-1.75	16.2	16.7	-0.57
Robert Horry	76	72	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.43	10	-6	16	12.7	14.4	-1.63	16.4	16.3	0.15
Glen Rice	94	90	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.47	5	-1	6	13.4	12.3	1.04	16.6	15.4	1.20
J.R. Reid	79	77	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.38	8	-4	12	13.2	13.3	-0.05	16.8	15.3	1.45
Kobe Bryant	84	82	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.40	7	-3	10	13.3	13.1	0.19	16.0	17.6	-1.59
Travis Knight	29	27	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.17	8	-4	12	12.8	13.4	-0.59	15.9	16.6	-0.73
Ruben Patterson	40	40	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.10	-4	8	-12	12.8	13.5	-0.68	16.7	16.2	0.53
Derek Fisher	44	42	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.09	-5	9	-14	14.3	12.5	1.75	16.7	16.2	0.57
Shaquille O'Neal	34	36	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.13	-18	22	-40	14.7	12.5	2.19	15.9	16.7	-0.81

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Caffey	42	41	0.40	-0.90	1.29	-0.19	20	-24	44	17.3	15.8	1.43	15.1	12.1	2.96
Donyell Marshall	54	57	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.43	-9	5	-14	17.1	15.7	1.46	13.8	12.6	1.14
Antawn Jamison	50	51	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.19	11	-15	26	15.7	17.1	-1.39	13.2	13.3	-0.06
Felton Spencer	7	7	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-6	8	19.3	16.2	3.09	14.7	13.1	1.59
Adonal Foyle	14	15	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.12	-2	-2	0	13.9	16.8	-2.93	11.0	13.6	-2.59
John Starks	79	81	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-7	10	16.3	16.7	-0.46	13.2	13.4	-0.22
Muggsy Bogues	41	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	0	-4	16.5	16.3	0.19	13.7	12.9	0.72
Erick Dampier	51	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.54	0	-4	4	18.0	14.9	3.17	15.1	11.6	3.59
Bimbo Coles	67	67	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.56	-4	0	-4	15.9	17.3	-1.48	12.7	14.1	-1.45
Chris Mills	64	67	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.21	-22	18	-40	16.5	16.2	0.38	12.3	14.6	-2.30
Terry Cummings	61	64	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.43	-15	11	-26	15.2	18.1	-2.90	11.7	15.4	-3.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.85,0.46,0.38,0.11,0.02,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 116, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.02,0	92.3%
UTA 93, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.15,0.05,0	87.4%
MEM 128, GSW 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.91,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.09,0	86.5%