inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 128 Excitement7.3 [410] MVPZach Randolph (MEM): +27.6%
Golden State Warriors 119 Comeback237.1 [4] LVPTony Allen (MEM): -23.7%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zach Randolph0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.280.180.130.031775%0.301-0.022100%0.01
Mike Conley0.210,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.210.120.180.091963%0.252-0.04580%0.01
Marc Gasol0.130,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.100.090.061856%0.1300.005100%0.04
Chandler Parsons0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.00-0.00771%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Andrew Harrison0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jarell Martin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Troy Daniels-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.01,-0.010.06-0.050.01875%0.062-0.0600%0.00
Vince Carter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.02625%-0.0100.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00344%0.001-0.02333%-0.03
James Ennis III-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.02844%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Tony Allen-0.240,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.11-0.17-0.051632%-0.102-0.13250%-0.04

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.080.050.01483%0.1300.004100%0.04
Klay Thompson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.01-0.041746%0.0700.00333%-0.03
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.03665%0.154-0.13580%0.01
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.01-0.03470%0.063-0.04250%-0.00
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.022100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Ian Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Patrick McCaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
David West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01125%-0.0100.00250%-0.00
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01-0.010.21-0.130.092768%0.124-0.145100%0.02
Kevin Durant0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.00-0.12-0.031752%-0.034-0.061872%-0.11
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game29.12.032.715.826.33.440.52.515.3167.6
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.52.217.9136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +37.5%
GSW -13.0%
MEM +19.7%
MEM +3.0%
MEM +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMGSWNBAMEMGSWNBA
this game15.613.514.8116.4110.2107.7
season16.113.5106.4114.9
opponent15.114.9103.3106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MEM15.714.515.816.715.615.6
GSW13.112.714.914.012.813.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Troy Daniels40400.87-0.371.240.0229-204917.114.82.2914.113.20.89
Zach Randolph70700.72-0.220.940.0124-153915.815.30.4614.012.71.36
Marc Gasol83840.61-0.110.730.3590916.014.41.6513.214.5-1.29
Tony Allen97970.61-0.110.720.2612-31516.012.63.4113.513.9-0.41
Mike Conley85840.480.020.460.2481716.014.21.7813.214.7-1.56
Jarell Martin13110.120.38-0.26-0.1281712.116.1-4.0213.613.50.11
Andrew Harrison1010-0.070.57-0.650.01-312-1513.715.8-2.1114.013.50.51
Vince Carter3030-0.100.60-0.71-0.01-312-1513.616.4-2.7314.213.30.87
James Ennis III4441-0.210.71-0.920.06-918-2715.116.0-0.9213.113.8-0.75
Chandler Parsons3534-0.220.72-0.940.04-918-2715.115.9-0.8212.813.9-1.04
JaMychal Green4339-0.300.80-1.110.31-2130-5115.415.7-0.3314.113.20.80

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David West23230.17-0.670.840.112-111313.913.40.4214.815.8-1.00
Ian Clark11120.06-0.560.620.09-1-8716.113.22.8416.515.50.99
Shaun Livingston33320.00-0.500.510.30-101-1113.713.50.2715.515.7-0.12
Patrick McCaw66-0.02-0.480.460.04-2-7515.513.42.0812.715.8-3.12
JaVale McGee1010-0.03-0.470.440.06-3-6314.413.40.9517.415.41.96
Zaza Pachulia6465-0.22-0.280.050.04-90-912.714.7-1.9715.416.0-0.65
Kevin Durant8790-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.526-152113.414.0-0.5215.516.2-0.71
Klay Thompson8586-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.482-111313.214.8-1.5816.114.02.12
Andre Iguodala5456-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.07-134-1714.212.91.2615.016.3-1.30
Draymond Green8182-0.620.12-0.74-0.42-7-2-513.613.30.2716.213.82.41
Stephen Curry8688-0.630.13-0.76-0.34-101-1113.414.1-0.7515.416.3-0.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.91,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 93, POR 890.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.15,0.05,090.6%
PHX 109, DAL 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.55,0.68,0.82,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.16,090.4%
CLE 102, UTA 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.83,0.75,0.71,0.94,0.91,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.23,0.09,090.0%