NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	109		Excitement	9.7 [77]		MVP	Wayman Tisdale (PHX): +54.3%
Dallas Mavericks	108		Comeback	237.1 [7]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -34.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayman Tisdale	0.54	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.54	-0.02	0.52	-0.04	9	44%	0.55	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.04	0.11	-0.01	7	84%	0.26	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Horacio Llamas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Loren Meyer	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	6	36%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Rex Chapman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	0.08	-0.16	0.07	14	57%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21	-0.04	-0.14	0.02	13	55%	0.01	2	-0.21	14	86%	0.03
Jason Kidd	-0.35	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.14,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.01	-0.32	0.01	17	53%	-0.32	2	-0.03	9	67%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Dreiling	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	7	29%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	12	52%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.13,-0.32,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.05	-0.03	11	37%	0.25	3	-0.27	2	50%	-0.06
A.C. Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	58%	0.06	2	-0.09	6	67%	0.02
Martin Muursepp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.10	-0.01	11	62%	-0.04	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.02	-0.13	0.02	19	56%	-0.05	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.04
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.14	-0.00	15	53%	0.02	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.2,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.10	-0.05	13	23%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	26.1	15.5	26.4	1.6	32.6	1.6	19.2	147.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +23.8%

PHX +2.7%

DAL -13.9%

PHX +17.0%

PHX +20.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	13.6	17.3	15.6	107.9	103.8	104.4
season	14.6	15.9		106.8	99.1
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.5	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	14.7	14.6	11.5	12.7	17.0	13.6
DAL	15.3	14.8	18.5	19.4	22.6	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayman Tisdale	34	34	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.78	0	1	-1	15.3	12.8	2.47	17.7	17.2	0.49
Jason Kidd	89	91	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.50	1	0	1	13.4	15.6	-2.22	17.4	16.8	0.57
Kevin Johnson	86	88	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.64	-4	5	-9	14.3	10.0	4.26	17.0	19.1	-2.10
Rex Chapman	33	36	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	-3	7	13.3	13.8	-0.43	19.1	16.4	2.66
Mark Bryant	56	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.16	16	-15	31	12.6	15.0	-2.40	18.3	16.1	2.18
Wesley Person	66	65	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.20	17	-16	33	12.9	14.9	-1.97	17.9	16.4	1.50
Horacio Llamas	6	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	2	-3	14.5	13.6	0.93	16.1	17.4	-1.29
Loren Meyer	16	17	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	7	-13	14.1	13.5	0.60	14.7	17.9	-3.16
Hot Rod Williams	76	78	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.16	-2	3	-5	13.1	15.3	-2.20	17.2	17.9	-0.72
Cedric Ceballos	36	38	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.20	-21	22	-43	14.5	13.1	1.40	14.2	19.2	-4.94

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martin Muursepp	34	34	0.42	-0.92	1.33	0.24	6	-7	13	18.5	16.8	1.67	14.6	13.1	1.50
Samaki Walker	26	26	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.11	1	-2	3	18.1	17.1	1.03	13.0	13.9	-0.89
Erick Strickland	76	75	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.17	7	-8	15	16.5	19.6	-3.05	13.3	14.7	-1.44
Greg Dreiling	7	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	2	-5	17.9	17.3	0.55	15.3	13.5	1.79
Shawn Bradley	57	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	10	-21	17.9	16.7	1.14	12.6	14.9	-2.24
Derek Harper	66	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.32	-4	3	-7	17.2	17.6	-0.41	13.6	13.7	-0.15
Michael Finley	85	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.67	7	-8	15	16.8	20.0	-3.25	13.9	12.6	1.29
A.C. Green	83	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.74	7	-8	15	16.4	21.0	-4.52	14.0	12.4	1.61
Ed O'Bannon	27	25	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.44	-5	4	-9	18.3	17.0	1.23	12.9	13.9	-0.94
Khalid Reeves	59	56	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.44	-10	9	-19	18.7	15.5	3.23	14.1	13.0	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.55,0.68,0.82,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 113, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.02,0	90.8%
MEM 128, GSW 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.91,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.09,0	90.4%
CLE 102, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.83,0.75,0.71,0.94,0.91,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.23,0.09,0	90.3%