NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	7.0 [386]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +35.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	89		Comeback	68.4 [17]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -21.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.35	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35	-0.06	0.42	0.00	19	47%	0.44	4	-0.09	9	44%	-0.05
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.12	0.00	4	62%	0.17	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.07
Kyle Korver	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	8	44%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	52%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
CJ Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.03	8	22%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	13	46%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.10	0.02	15	46%	-0.09	5	-0.12	9	100%	0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	10	64%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	15	56%	0.13	5	-0.08	11	64%	-0.09
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	11	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	7	14%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	16	41%	-0.07	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	18	38%	-0.12	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.1	3.0	29.5	18.0	30.5	2.8	35.6	1.8	18.2	167.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +60.3%

POR -2.3%

UTA +3.4%

POR -13.6%

UTA +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	16.1	17.9	15.3	101.1	93.7	106.0
season	15.3	16.7		109.5	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.0		106.3	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	15.9	17.0	13.1	16.8	19.6	16.1
POR	12.9	15.1	23.6	23.2	15.9	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	53	56	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.29	20	-16	36	16.9	15.0	1.89	18.7	16.8	1.95
Deron Williams	77	79	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.34	12	-8	20	15.4	19.7	-4.38	18.2	16.4	1.78
Kyrylo Fesenko	39	39	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.02	20	-16	36	17.6	14.9	2.74	20.7	16.0	4.71
Carlos Boozer	80	81	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.43	4	0	4	15.3	21.3	-6.06	17.7	18.9	-1.19
Wesley Matthews	58	62	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.58	-3	7	-10	15.5	17.0	-1.53	17.5	18.6	-1.10
CJ Miles	60	60	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.22	-6	10	-16	16.2	15.8	0.34	18.2	17.4	0.82
Andrei Kirilenko	19	19	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	12	-20	15.4	16.2	-0.88	13.1	19.1	-6.01
Ronnie Price	15	16	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.04	-8	12	-20	19.7	15.4	4.38	16.4	18.2	-1.78
Paul Millsap	59	63	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	-0.07	-11	15	-26	16.0	16.1	-0.09	17.3	19.2	-1.96

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	52	49	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.22	-1	-3	2	17.7	18.1	-0.41	17.4	14.6	2.83
Martell Webster	29	29	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.09	6	-10	16	16.6	18.5	-1.86	13.1	17.4	-4.38
Dante Cunningham	15	14	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.07	0	-4	4	16.8	18.1	-1.33	19.4	15.5	3.97
Jerryd Bayless	17	15	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.11	-2	-2	0	20.2	17.4	2.83	18.6	15.6	3.03
Andre Miller	73	71	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-7	10	17.8	18.3	-0.46	15.3	18.6	-3.31
Rudy Fernandez	50	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.43	2	-6	8	16.4	19.6	-3.20	17.2	14.7	2.49
Nicolas Batum	56	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-4	4	17.4	18.7	-1.32	17.7	13.7	4.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	59	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.66	6	-10	16	17.3	19.0	-1.70	15.7	16.6	-0.88
Marcus Camby	64	63	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.40	-13	9	-22	18.9	15.8	3.08	14.6	19.3	-4.69
Brandon Roy	60	57	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.23	-21	17	-38	19.8	14.7	5.07	15.3	17.3	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.15,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 116, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.02,0	91.1%
MEM 128, GSW 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.91,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.09,0	90.6%
NOP 123, NYK 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.77,0.85,0.54,0.68,0.46,0.55,0.16,0	89.7%