NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	123		Excitement	9.3 [124]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): +40.1%
New York Knicks	118		Comeback	56.8 [31]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (NOP): -27.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.40	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.4	0.17	0.23	0.00	19	72%	0.49	4	-0.09	5	80%	-0.04
Anthony Davis	0.32	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.32,0.32	0.17	0.20	0.05	30	64%	0.41	4	-0.09	15	80%	0.01
Ian Clark	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	5	42%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	0.05	-0.09	0.04	14	57%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.19	-0.09	-0.01	16	34%	-0.15	5	-0.13	12	58%	-0.07

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.12	0.00	14	64%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	0.00	17	57%	0.16	3	-0.05	10	70%	-0.07
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.10	-0.03	14	73%	0.16	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.11,0.11,0,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	24	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	10	35%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.4	1.7	29.3	14.0	29.3	2.3	34.5	2.3	15.5	151.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +4.1%

NOP +8.7%

NOP +20.7%

NOP +19.8%

NYK -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	NYK	NBA	NOP	NYK	NBA
this game	13.5	14.0	14.7	105.1	103.5	107.5
season	13.6	14.9		108.0	105.9
opponent	14.5	14.6		109.3	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOP	14.4	12.2	14.1	12.6	15.3	13.5
NYK	12.2	12.7	13.6	18.1	14.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	99	96	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.27	14	-9	23	13.8	12.1	1.71	14.0	14.0	0.04
Jrue Holiday	97	94	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.28	13	-8	21	13.8	12.0	1.81	14.6	11.6	2.95
E'Twaun Moore	100	97	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.40	6	-1	7	13.6	12.6	1.00	13.8	15.1	-1.27
Anthony Davis	110	107	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.45	0	5	-5	13.6	12.0	1.60	13.8	17.3	-3.46
Ian Clark	41	40	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	-8	21	12.6	14.0	-1.34	16.8	12.5	4.34
Dante Cunningham	25	25	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.02	-4	9	-13	12.0	13.9	-1.86	14.9	13.8	1.13
Darius Miller	46	46	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.01	-7	12	-19	12.2	14.4	-2.16	13.1	14.6	-1.52
Rajon Rondo	56	56	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	0.04	-15	20	-35	14.1	13.0	1.09	12.1	15.9	-3.75

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	37	37	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.13	-2	-3	1	15.3	13.4	1.87	12.1	14.2	-2.08
Frank Ntilikina	36	37	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.15	-3	-2	-1	15.1	13.5	1.57	12.1	14.2	-2.08
Doug McDermott	27	29	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-8	11	14.1	14.0	0.10	11.4	14.2	-2.78
Lance Thomas	60	58	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-7	9	12.9	15.3	-2.47	14.0	13.0	1.05
Michael Beasley	20	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.25	-16	11	-27	16.7	13.5	3.23	11.9	13.9	-2.01
Enes Kanter	75	78	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.19	-1	-4	3	13.7	14.7	-0.96	14.5	11.6	2.91
Kristaps Porzingis	94	96	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.61	11	-16	27	13.5	16.7	-3.23	13.9	11.9	2.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	69	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.49	-1	-4	3	13.8	14.4	-0.68	13.6	13.4	0.21
Jarrett Jack	78	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.51	-2	-3	1	13.5	15.1	-1.57	14.2	12.1	2.08
Courtney Lee	74	77	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.34	-16	11	-27	14.9	12.4	2.48	13.5	13.5	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.77,0.85,0.54,0.68,0.46,0.55,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 106, CHA 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.83,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	90.5%
UTA 93, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.15,0.05,0	89.7%
MIA 97, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.83,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.78,0.91,0.95,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.27,0	89.5%